Thursday, January 8, 2026

SPRㅣ TQQQ Pretiming Report_Daily: TQQQ is currently caught in the crosshairs of a tech-sector retreat and geopolitical uncertainty, leading to a firm Bearish designation.

 

SPRㅣ TQQQ Pretiming Report_Daily

1. Comprehensive Daily Analysis of TQQQ’s Price Action and Market Drivers (Jan 08, 2026)

On January 8, 2026, the ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) closed at 54.2, declining -1.78% in a session marked by high-tension sector rotation. While the Dow Jones found support in energy and industrials, the Nasdaq-100 (which TQQQ tracks with 3x leverage) faced headwinds as investors de-risked ahead of the January Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Geopolitical unrest in Iran has triggered a flight from high-beta growth stocks toward defensive hedges, causing TQQQ to break its recent rebound momentum. The stock currently displays an extremely high correlation (96%) with the broader US tech indices, meaning its price action is almost entirely dictated by the current "wait-and-see" institutional stance.


2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

  • Trend Zone: Bearish (Maintained for 5 days)

  • Investment Stance: Sell and Observe

  • Trend Logic: TQQQ is currently entrenched in a Bearish zone, where the risk-to-reward profile for long-term holders is unfavorable. This zone is transitioning from a brief "Rebound Trend" into a "Downtrend," characterized by strengthening selling pressure. Historically, entering a Bearish zone suggests a high probability of persistent downward flow with only limited, temporary upward bounces. The strategy focuses on capital preservation and avoiding the "leverage decay" that plagues 3x ETFs during prolonged downturns.

➡️ Analyst Insight: For long-term investors, the signals are clear: stay on the sidelines. The probability of returning to a Bullish zone within the next 10 days is currently 0%. By shifting to a "Sell and Observe" stance 5 days ago, investors have already captured a 2.8% relative return benefit by avoiding the recent slip. Patiently wait for the trend to re-enter the Bullish zone before deploying significant capital.


3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

  • Current Flow: Transitioning to Downtrend (Selling pressure strengthening)

  • Stance: Sell / Neutral

  • Numerical Targets:

    • Ideal Sell Timing: Jan 09 (Target Price: 55.2)

    • Ideal Buy Window: Jan 14 – Jan 15 (Target Price: 50.7)

  • Daily Volatility Expectations:

    • In Rising Scenarios: Avg. Close +1.7% (High-Low Range: 2.6% to -0.7%)

    • In Falling Scenarios: Avg. Close -3.0% (High-Low Range: 1.8% to -3.8%)

➡️ Analyst Insight: Short-term traders should prepare for "sharp declines" as the rebound trend exhausts itself. With a projected downward intensity of -82%, the risk of a fast move lower is significant. If the stock touches the 55.2 level on a brief morning bounce tomorrow (Jan 09), it should be viewed as a high-probability exit point. Look to re-engage closer to the 50.7 support level in approximately 5 days.


4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

  • Trend Intensity: Sideways Box Pattern (Ratio 5:5 Up vs. Down)

  • Expected Price Range: 51.3 ~ 54.8 (-5.4% to +1.2%)

  • Median Target: 53.0 (-2.1%)

  • Trend Shift Probability: Potential reversals identified in 2 days and 7 days.

  • Outlook: While the 10-day trend volume is split 50/50 between up and down days, the intensity is heavily skewed to the downside (-82% vs. +43%). This suggests that "green" days will be shallow and choppy, while "red" days may be aggressive and swift.

➡️ Interpretation: The forecast points to a "Descending Box" pattern. The stock is likely to bounce between 51 and 54, but the gravitational pull is downward. Expect heightened volatility around Jan 10 and Jan 15 as the trend attempts to find a local bottom.


5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

MetricPrior Status (Late Dec)Current Status (Jan 08)Shift/Bias
Trend ZoneBullish (Transitioning)Bearish (-53% Level)Significant Deterioration
Investment StanceBuy/HoldSell and ObserveDefensive Pivot
Downward IntensityModerateHigh (-82%)Increased Sell Strength
10-Day ForecastUpward MomentumSideways / Bearish BiasMomentum Exhaustion

6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

  • Risk Management: TQQQ's 3x leverage amplifies the current bearish sentiment. Risk hedging is mandatory here; do not "average down" in a -82% intensity environment.

  • Action Roadmap: 1. Immediate: Utilize any Jan 09 strength to reduce exposure at or near 55.2.

    2. Mid-week: Maintain cash through the Jan 10 reversal window.

    3. Jan 14-15: Monitor for a "Buy" signal near 50.7 for a tactical swing trade, provided the index correlation remains stable.


7. Investment Strategy Summary

TQQQ is currently caught in the crosshairs of a tech-sector retreat and geopolitical uncertainty, leading to a firm Bearish designation. With a 96% correlation to a Nasdaq-100 index that is bracing for critical labor data, the short-term outlook is characterized by high-intensity downward pressure (-82%) and a sideways price floor that is likely to be tested. The optimal strategy is to remain in a "Sell and Observe" position for long-term accounts, while short-term traders should prioritize exiting near 55.2 and waiting for a more stable entry point near the 50.7 support level in mid-January.

Tuesday, January 6, 2026

SPRㅣ TSLA Pretiming Report_Daily: TSLA continues to operate within a strong Bearish trend, with downside pressure outweighing upward momentum despite upcoming rebound opportunities.

 

SPRㅣ TSLA Pretiming Report_Daily
Date: Jan 06, 2026

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1. Comprehensive Daily Analysis of TSLA’s Price Action and Market Drivers

Tesla (TSLA) declined 4.14% to close at 433.0, extending its downward momentum and reinforcing its trajectory within the Bearish trend zone.
Today’s trading session was driven by a combination of persistent selling pressure, weakening sentiment, and broader market softness. Investors remained cautious as TSLA exhibited limited buying interest despite brief intraday rebounds.

Price action showed a continuation of strong downside bias, with sellers holding control. Any upward fluctuations were short-lived, suggesting that investors are still prioritizing risk reduction rather than accumulating shares. The high correlation with the U.S. Stock Market Index (77%) further indicates that macro sentiment is a primary driver, amplifying downside pressure during market pullbacks.

Overall, TSLA reflects a defensive market stance with clear downward risk dominance.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

TSLA remains firmly in the Bearish trend zone, where the appropriate long-term stance is Sell and Observe.

Long-term Trend Interpretation

  • Bearish Zone Structure:

    • Downtrend phase: persistent declines with occasional upward bumps

    • Rebound Trend: weak upward movement with unstable downside pressure

  • Investing in this zone carries low return potential and elevated downside risk.

  • Selling pressure is dominant, and recovery attempts lack strength or sustainability.

  • Long-term strategy in this environment focuses on capital preservation, staying out of the position until the trend moves into a Bullish zone.

Current Position Status

  • The Sell-and-Observe stance has been maintained for 7 days, yielding a -10.8% avoided decline, demonstrating effective risk management.

  • 0% probability of Bullish zone entry over the next 10 days, indicating no imminent long-term trend reversal.

Analyst Insight

Long-term investors should stay defensive, as TSLA’s trend structure still suggests significant downside pressure. Remaining in a Sell-and-Observe stance protects capital while waiting for a confirmed Bullish transition that would justify re-entry. The long-term risk/reward profile currently favors caution over accumulation.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Short-term strategy remains aligned with the Bearish environment, prioritizing risk reduction, conservative positioning, and disciplined selling.

Tactical Short-Term Guidance

  • Primary stance: Neutral, but defensive

  • When to Sell:

    • Ideal selling window: Jan 13–14

    • Target sell price: 469.8

  • When to Buy:

    • Ideal buying window: Jan 16–20

    • Target buy price: 434.4

Short-Term Structure and Flow

  • TSLA is showing signs of entering a rebound trend, where selling pressure starts to weaken and price fluctuations widen.

  • Despite this, downtrend intensity remains high, signaling that rebounds may be temporary and unstable.

  • Next 10 days expected to form a sideways box pattern, with:

    • Downward : Upward trend ratio = 3 : 7
      → more upward movement expected

    • But downward intensity > upward intensity,
      → meaning declines, when they occur, may be sharper.

Additional Dynamics

  • Trend instability can cause high prediction volatility, reflecting fragile sentiment.

  • Trend reversal possibilities: Today and ~7 days from now.

  • Market correlation (77%) implies TSLA’s short-term price may shift quickly if the U.S. index moves unexpectedly.

Analyst Insight

Short-term traders should stay cautious and avoid aggressive entries. Rebound attempts offer opportunities to sell at higher levels for risk control. Buy attempts should be limited, conservative, and only within the defined entry window, as the overall structure remains vulnerable to renewed selling pressure.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Forecast models indicate sideways movement with a bearish bias, featuring intermittent rebounds but dominant downward intensity.

Expected Price Range

  • 428.6 ~ 462.4

  • % Change: -1.0% ~ +6.8%

  • Median: 445.5 (+2.9%)

Trend Zone Projection

  • Last 30 days: Bearish (-1%)

  • Current: Bearish (-176%)

  • Next 10 days forecast: Bearish (-82%)

Trend Strength Probability

  • If rising: +39% average upward intensity

  • If falling: -91% downward intensity

  • Downward intensity remains significantly higher than upward.

Additional Indicators

  • Average closing if rising: +2.1%

    • Range: +3.1% ~ -0.8%

  • Average closing if falling: -2.3%

    • Range: +1.6% ~ -2.9%

➡️ Interpretation:
While short-term rebounds are likely due to weakened selling pressure, the broader 10-day structure still leans bearish. Any upward moves may lack strength, and downturns may remain sharper. Investors should expect volatility and prepare for sudden direction changes driven by market conditions.

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5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

ComponentPrevious OutlookCurrent OutlookChange
Trend ZoneBearishBearishNo change
Price BiasDowntrend-dominantSideways with bearish intensitySlightly less downward bias
Buy StrategyNone recommendedBuy window added (Jan 16–20 @ 434.4)New
Sell StrategyGeneral selling recommendedDefined sell window (Jan 13–14 @ 469.8)More specific
Risk LevelHighVery high (strong downward intensity)Increased
Reversal TimingUnclearToday + 7 daysMore precise

Summary:
TSLA’s bearish trend remains in place, but structural details now indicate higher volatility and clearer buy/sell timing. Downward pressure is still dominant despite upcoming rebound windows.

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6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

  • Long-term stance: Stay out of the position until a Bullish zone emerges.

  • Short-term stance: Trade defensively, using rebounds as selling opportunities.

  • TSLA’s downtrend remains strong, but rebound-driven fluctuations may offer strategic exits.

  • Trend instability increases volatility, requiring disciplined risk management.

  • Monitor U.S. market movements closely due to high correlation.

  • Follow timing windows strictly:

    • Sell: Jan 13–14

    • Buy: Jan 16–20

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7. Investment Strategy Summary

TSLA continues to operate within a strong Bearish trend, with downside pressure outweighing upward momentum despite upcoming rebound opportunities. Long-term investors should remain on the sidelines to protect capital, while short-term traders can focus on opportunistic selling within defined windows. The next 10 days show a volatile sideways pattern with higher downside intensity, reinforcing the need for caution, timing discipline, and adherence to risk management.

Monday, January 5, 2026

SPRㅣ TQQQ Pretiming Report_Daily: TQQQ remains positioned within a Bearish trend zone despite a short-term rebound on January 5. The long-term strategy continues to favor Sell and Observe, while short-term dynamics suggest neutral positioning with tactical selling into strength.

 

SPRㅣ TQQQ Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: Jan 05, 2026


1. Comprehensive Daily Analysis of TQQQ’s Price Action and Market Drivers

On January 5, 2026, TQQQ closed at $53.6, marking a +2.39% daily gain. Despite the positive close, the broader price action continues to reflect positioning within a Bearish trend zone, suggesting that the day’s rebound should be interpreted as a technical bounce rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

Intraday flow showed a shift toward stronger buying pressure after the market open, indicating short-lived demand possibly driven by short-covering or index-linked rebounds rather than sustained conviction buying. Given TQQQ’s leveraged structure and its extremely high correlation with the broader US equity market, daily price movement remains highly sensitive to overall market sentiment and index direction.

Overall, the price action reflects temporary relief within a dominant bearish structure, with volatility remaining elevated.


2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The current long-term trend zone for TQQQ is firmly Bearish, and the appropriate investment stance aligned with this environment remains Sell and Observe.

Within a Bearish zone, price behavior typically alternates between a Downtrend—characterized by strong and persistent selling pressure—and a Rebound Trend, which consists of limited, unstable upward fluctuations. While rebounds may appear attractive, they often carry low return potential and elevated downside risk when viewed from a medium- to long-term perspective.

At present, there are no structural signals indicating a transition back into a Bullish zone. The Sell and Observe position has been maintained for 2 days, generating a cumulative return of +1.7% since entry. Importantly, the probability of entering a Bullish zone within the next 10 days remains at 0%, reinforcing the prudence of defensive positioning.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
For long-term investors, this environment favors capital preservation over return-seeking. Remaining on the sidelines and waiting for a confirmed bullish transition is strategically superior to attempting to time rebounds within a bearish structure.


3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

In the short term, TQQQ remains positioned within a Bearish zone, warranting a risk-reduction–focused strategy. While selling pressure has begun to moderate, the current rebound phase lacks sufficient strength to justify aggressive long exposure.

Over the next 10 days, the trend structure suggests a higher proportion of upward movement (4:6 downside-to-upside ratio). However, the downward intensity remains stronger than upward intensity, indicating that any rallies may be vulnerable to sharp reversals.

Based on the current closing price:

  • The appropriate near-term stance is Neutral

  • A potential selling window is projected in 5 days

    • Selling period: Jan 09 – Jan 12

    • Target sell price: ~$57.9

  • A subsequent buying opportunity is expected 8 days ahead

    • Buying period: Jan 14 – Jan 15

    • Target buy price: ~$54.5

Statistically, TQQQ moves in line with the US Stock Market Average Index with a 95% probability, meaning short-term strategy must remain highly adaptive to index direction.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
Short-term traders should treat rebounds as tactical trading opportunities, not trend confirmations. Selling into strength and waiting for clearer signals remains the higher-probability approach.


4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

10-Day Price Forecast

  • Price range: $52.5 ~ $57.2

  • Expected change: -2.0% ~ +6.7%

  • Median price: $54.9 (+2.3%)

Trend Zone Expectations

  • Last 30 days average: Bearish (-7%)

  • Current trend level: Bearish (-55%)

  • Expected 10-day average: Bearish (-34%)

If price moves upward, the expected average upward intensity is 42%, while a downward move carries a significantly stronger downward intensity of -97%, underscoring the asymmetric risk profile.

➡️ Interpretation:
While short-term rebounds are statistically possible, downside risk remains dominant. Investors should expect volatile swings with a bearish bias, rather than a stable recovery phase.


5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

  • Trend Zone: Remains Bearish (unchanged)

  • Long-Term Stance: Sell and Observe (maintained)

  • Short-Term Bias: Shifted from pure defense toward Neutral due to rebound dynamics

  • Risk Profile: Downside intensity remains elevated

  • Market Dependency: Correlation with US index remains extremely high

Overall, the forecast reflects tactical adjustments within an unchanged bearish framework, rather than a strategic shift.


6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

  • Long-term conditions remain unfavorable for sustained long exposure

  • Short-term rebounds may offer selling or hedging opportunities

  • Volatility remains high due to unstable buy-sell strength transitions

  • Index movement will remain the primary driver of price behavior

Investors should prioritize risk management, disciplined execution, and patience, avoiding emotional responses to short-lived rebounds.


7. Investment Strategy Summary

TQQQ remains positioned within a Bearish trend zone despite a short-term rebound on January 5. The long-term strategy continues to favor Sell and Observe, while short-term dynamics suggest neutral positioning with tactical selling into strength. High correlation with the US stock market and asymmetric downside intensity reinforce the need for cautious execution, disciplined risk control, and confirmation-based re-entry rather than anticipatory buying.

Friday, January 2, 2026

SPRㅣ TQQQ Pretiming Report_Daily: TQQQ remains firmly positioned within a Bearish trend zone, where selling pressure dominates and upside movements lack sustainability.

 

SPRㅣ TQQQ Pretiming Report_Daily


1. Comprehensive Daily Analysis of TQQQ’s Price Action and Market Drivers

On January 02, 2026, TQQQ closed at $52.4, posting a -0.70% daily decline.
The session reflected continued downside pressure, consistent with the ETF’s position within a Bearish trend zone. Despite intermittent buying attempts at the market open, selling pressure ultimately dominated, preventing any meaningful recovery into the close.

Investor sentiment remained cautious, as participants continued to de-risk in response to broader market weakness. Given TQQQ’s leveraged structure and its 95% correlation with the US Stock Market Average Index, downside momentum in the broader market translated directly into amplified volatility for TQQQ. The intraday flow highlighted temporary upward reactions, but these lacked follow-through and were quickly met by renewed selling interest.


2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The current long-term trend zone remains Bearish, with the appropriate strategic stance defined as Sell and Observe.
Within a Bearish zone, market behavior typically alternates between a strong Downtrend and short-lived Rebound Trends. While rebounds may appear attractive on the surface, they tend to be temporary and occur within a structurally weak environment dominated by selling pressure.

From a medium- to long-term perspective, maintaining exposure during a Bearish zone exposes investors to asymmetric downside risk. As highlighted in your analysis, this environment favors capital preservation rather than return-seeking, and in some cases, inverse strategies may offer more favorable risk-adjusted opportunities.

The Sell and Observe position has now been maintained for 1 day, during which a -0.7% decline was successfully avoided, validating the effectiveness of trend-based risk management. Notably, the probability of entering a Bullish zone within the next 10 days remains at 0%, reinforcing the rationale for continued caution.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
For long-term investors, this is not a phase to anticipate bottoms prematurely. Preserving capital and waiting for a confirmed Bullish transition remains the optimal strategy, rather than attempting to time rebounds within a structurally Bearish environment.


3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

In the short-term context, TQQQ is firmly positioned within a Bearish zone, calling for risk-reduction and defensive positioning.
Downtrends in leveraged ETFs are often characterized by sharp declines punctuated by brief countertrend rallies, which are best interpreted as selling opportunities rather than trend reversals.

While early-session buying intensity briefly strengthened, the overall structure remains one of strong downward momentum, supported by higher average losses on down days.

  • Average closing gain when rising: +1.8%
    → High–Low range: +2.7% to -0.7%

  • Average closing loss when falling: -3.1%
    → High–Low range: +1.8% to -3.8%

Based on the current price action:

  • Investment position: Neutral (short-term)

  • Next selling window: Jan 08 – Jan 09

    • Target sell price: $56.4

  • Next potential buying window: Jan 14 – Jan 15

    • Target buy price: $52.6

➡️ Analyst Insight:
Short-term traders should prioritize selling into strength rather than chasing rebounds. Any upward movement should be treated as a tactical exit or hedging opportunity, not confirmation of a trend reversal.


4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Over the next 10 days, TQQQ is expected to exhibit high volatility within a Bearish framework.
While the directional ratio is projected at 5:5 (downward vs. upward moves), the downside intensity remains materially stronger, reflecting persistent selling dominance despite occasional rebounds.

Forecast range:

  • Price: $51.3 ~ $55.8

  • % Change: -2.0% ~ +6.6%

  • Median price: $53.6 (+2.3%)

Trend metrics further reinforce caution:

  • Current trend level: Bearish (-25%)

  • Expected 10-day trend level: Bearish (-29%)

  • Downward intensity: -94% (very strong)

  • Upward intensity: +43% (moderate)

➡️ Interpretation:
Even though upside rebounds are statistically possible, the dominant force remains downside pressure. Investors should expect unstable swings rather than a sustained recovery.


5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

  • Trend zone: Bearish → Bearish (unchanged)

  • Risk bias: Defensive stance maintained

  • Bullish transition probability: Remains extremely low

  • Volatility outlook: Elevated due to abrupt Buy–Sell intensity shifts

No structural improvement has emerged compared to the prior forecast. Instead, downside risk parameters have slightly intensified, reinforcing the existing strategy.


6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

  • Long-term conditions continue to favor capital preservation over return-seeking

  • Short-term rebounds should be approached as selling opportunities

  • High correlation with the broader market implies that any index weakness will likely amplify downside pressure in TQQQ

  • Elevated volatility increases the importance of strict timing and disciplined execution

Maintaining a defensive posture while waiting for a confirmed trend shift remains the most rational approach.


7. Investment Strategy Summary

TQQQ remains firmly positioned within a Bearish trend zone, where selling pressure dominates and upside movements lack sustainability. Long-term investors are best served by maintaining a Sell and Observe stance, while short-term participants should focus on tactical exits during rebounds rather than aggressive accumulation. With downside intensity significantly outweighing upside potential and no Bullish transition expected in the near term, disciplined risk management and patience remain the key priorities for investors.

Friday, December 19, 2025

[SPR] NASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily: The NASDAQ remains in a Bearish zone, justifying a continued Sell and Observe posture for strategic allocation. However, short-term conditions support a Buy and Hold stance, with defined buying and selling windows ahead.

 

[SPR] NASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily:

Dec 19, 2025 | NASDAQ Closing Price: 23,307.6 (+1.31%)


1. Comprehensive Daily Analysis of NASDAQ’s Price Action and Market Drivers

On Dec 19, 2025, the NASDAQ closed at 23,307.6, gaining +1.31% on the day. This advance reflects a strong rebound attempt within a broader Bearish trend zone, driven by a sudden shift toward stronger buying intensity despite the prevailing negative classification.

The sharp upside move suggests that downside momentum has weakened meaningfully. Although the index remains within a Bearish zone, price behavior now points to accumulation rather than distribution, indicating that selling pressure has largely been absorbed at current levels.


2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The long-term trend zone remains Bearish, and the strategically appropriate position continues to be “Sell and Observe.” This zone is historically associated with lower expected returns and elevated downside risk, even during intermittent rebounds.

The Sell and Observe position has been maintained for 4 days, during which the cumulative return stands at +1.1%, confirming that risk has been effectively managed while allowing flexibility during the rebound phase.

Importantly, there is now a 53% probability of entering a Bullish zone within 5 days, which represents a notable improvement in medium-term conditions.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
While long-term exposure should remain cautious, the improving probability profile suggests that investors should prepare for a potential regime shift rather than remain purely defensive.


3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

From a short-term perspective, the NASDAQ is still technically in a Bearish zone, but price action clearly indicates the early formation of a rebound trend. Buy–Sell intensity has shifted abruptly toward buying dominance, even within bearish conditions.

Based on today’s closing price, the appropriate short-term stance is “Buy and Hold.” The next ideal buying window is expected in 2 days, between Dec 22 and Dec 23, with a favorable entry level near 23,344.6. Additionally, a projected selling window is identified in 8 days, between Dec 30 and Dec 31, near 24,363.3.

  • Average closing price when rising: +0.7%

    • High–Low range: +1.0% ~ -0.2%

  • Average closing price when falling: -0.8%

    • High–Low range: +0.5% ~ -1.1%

➡️ Analyst Insight:
Short-term participants can maintain exposure while remaining alert to abrupt intensity shifts, which may temporarily increase volatility.


4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

The 10-day outlook strongly favors upward continuation:

  • Directional Ratio (Down : Up): 1 : 9

  • Projected Price Range: 23,284.3 ~ 24,225.1

  • Expected % Change: -0.1% ~ +3.9%

  • Median Forecast Price: 23,754.7 (+1.9%)

Trend reversal probabilities indicate Today and approximately 9 days from now as potential inflection points.

➡️ Interpretation:
The forecast suggests a high likelihood that the rebound phase persists, with limited downside risk relative to upside potential over the next two weeks.


5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

Relative to prior forecasts, the current trend level remains deeply Bearish at -88%, yet the expected average trend level over the next 10 days has improved to +17% (Bullish). This divergence reinforces the view that the market is forward-looking a regime change, even before the official trend zone shifts.


6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

The NASDAQ is transitioning from a selling-driven decline into a buying-supported rebound phase. Although the long-term trend classification remains Bearish, improving momentum, rising Bullish probabilities, and a strong upside-biased forecast suggest that downside risks are diminishing rapidly.

Volatility remains elevated due to sudden Buy–Sell intensity shifts, but the broader risk–reward balance is now tilting favorably.


7. Investment Strategy Summary.

The NASDAQ remains in a Bearish zone, justifying a continued Sell and Observe posture for strategic allocation. However, short-term conditions support a Buy and Hold stance, with defined buying and selling windows ahead. With a 53% probability of entering a Bullish zone within 5 days, the index is approaching a potential inflection point that warrants close monitoring and tactical readiness.