COIN Pretiming Report_Daily: COIN is nearing a potential rebound phase after weeks of heavy selling. However, until the Bullish zone is confirmed, both long- and short-term investors should remain cautious, prioritize capital preservation, and prepare to act quickly if the upward breakout solidifies.

COIN Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 21, 2025
Closing Price: $300.3 (-1.35%)

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1. Today’s Market Flow

Coinbase (COIN) closed at $300.3, down -1.35% from the previous session.
The stock remains in a Bearish trend zone, reflecting ongoing selling pressure and cautious investor sentiment.

Over the past 21 days, COIN has consistently remained in this Bearish zone, accumulating a decline of -24.5% since July 23, 2025. This performance highlights the importance of risk management and defensive positioning.

Selling activity continues to outweigh buying pressure, although signs of a potential rebound trend are emerging as downward momentum begins to slow.

*Key Factors Driving COIN Today

• Sluggish Trading Activity and Revenue Decline
  Coinbase’s Q2 financial results showed a significant drop in transaction revenue (down 39% from the previous quarter) and overall trading activity, which led to revenues missing Wall Street expectations. This signaled to investors that activity on the platform was slowing sharply, a trend exacerbated by lower volatility in crypto markets.

• Unfavorable Subscription Guidance
  The company provided a less-than-enthusiastic outlook for its subscription revenue. This forecast, combined with weak trading performance, resulted in analysts revising price targets downward and, in some cases, lowering their stock ratings for COIN.

• Broader Market and Macroeconomic Sentiment
  Disappointing macroeconomic data and renewed trade tariff discussions in the U.S. weighed heavily on risk assets, including crypto-related equities like Coinbase. Worries about recessions and shifting trade policies have increased the perceived risk of holding high-beta stocks tied to digital assets.

• Comparative Underperformance in the Crypto Sector
  While Coinbase posted disappointing numbers, some competitors—such as Robinhood—reported growth in their crypto trading revenue, highlighting Coinbase’s unique challenges amid a sector-wide backdrop of changing risk tolerance.

• Shift in Market Behavior and Regulatory Uncertainty
  Crypto markets entered a phase of lower volatility and reduced trading, partially due to investors holding assets during a bullish crypto cycle and awaiting further clarity on U.S. regulations. Sector-wide anticipation of key data releases, possible Fed rate cuts, and major regulatory updates also contributed to market caution, limiting upside for trading-focused platforms like Coinbase.

In summary, COIN’s decline on August 21 was driven by disappointing earnings, a weak outlook, diminished market volatility, mounting macroeconomic pressures, and evolving sector dynamics—all of which combined to sour investor sentiment toward Coinbase stock.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Trend Zone: Bearish

• Recommended Position: Sell and Observe

In the long-term view, COIN is still locked in a Bearish cycle. Historically, Bearish zones are marked by:

• Downtrend: Persistent declines with minor recoveries.

• Rebound Trend: Short-lived upward movements within a downward framework.

For long-term investors, remaining defensive is the most suitable stance:

• Continue holding cash or alternative positions until COIN transitions into a Bullish zone.

• The “Sell and Observe” strategy has been effective in preserving capital, avoiding further downside exposure.

• There is a 60% probability of entering the Bullish zone within 4 days, which could present the next significant buying opportunity.

Until then, maintaining caution remains the most prudent long-term approach.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Current Position: Neutral

• Key Observation: Market is preparing to shift from a downtrend into a rebound trend.

Short-term strategy highlights:

• Buying Window: Aug 22–25, with a target entry price around $305.1.

• Selling Window: Aug 28–29, with a target exit price around $330.7.

• Trend Expectation (10 days): 70% upward movement vs. 30% downward movement.

Investors should:

• Stay conservative during short-term rebounds.

• Use upward surges as selling or hedging opportunities.

• Consider low-exposure purchases only when the rebound confirms stability.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

• Projected Price Range: $294.3 ~ $327.3

• Expected % Change: -2.0% ~ +9.0%

• Median Forecast Price: $310.8 (+3.5%)

Additional Forecast Insights:

• Turning Points: Likely trend shifts today and again around 7 days from now.

• Correlation with U.S. Market Index:

  • Moves in sync: 76% probability

  • Moves independently: 24% probability

• Trend Intensity:

  • Upward moves: Avg. +56% strength

  • Downward moves: Avg. -52% strength

• Average Closing Prices:

  • Rising days: +3.7% (high ~ +5.1%, low ~ -1.3%)

  • Falling days: -2.3% (high ~ +1.6%, low ~ -3.8%)

Overall, COIN is forecasted to lean upward in the next 10 days, but volatility tied to the broader U.S. stock market remains a critical factor.

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5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• For Long-Term Investors:
  Stay patient. Continue with a Sell and Observe stance until COIN confirms entry into a Bullish zone. Risk remains elevated, but a potential Bullish shift within days could create a strong buying setup.

• For Short-Term Traders:
  Neutral positioning is appropriate until confirmation of the rebound. Consider light buying between Aug 22–25 and aim for profit-taking between Aug 28–29 near $330.7.

Bottom Line:
COIN is nearing a potential rebound phase after weeks of heavy selling. However, until the Bullish zone is confirmed, both long- and short-term investors should remain cautious, prioritize capital preservation, and prepare to act quickly if the upward breakout solidifies.

COIN Pretiming Report_Daily: COIN is in a late-stage Bearish environment with limited downside left and a potential Bullish shift approaching.

COIN Pretiming Report_Daily

1. Today's Market Flow (Aug 15, 2025)

COIN closed at $317.6, marking a -2.26% decline from the previous session. The stock has been in a Bearish trend zone for the past 17 days, during which time it has fallen -20.2% from $397.8 (July 23).

Market action suggests that the rebound momentum is losing steam, giving way to renewed selling pressure. The current flow is best characterized as the early stage of a downtrend, with modest intraday upticks followed by sharper declines.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The broader market outlook for COIN remains Bearish, and the recommended long-term strategy is “Sell and Observe.”

Within the Bearish zone, two distinct flows are observed:

• Downtrend: Strong, sustained selling pressure with limited recovery potential.

• Rebound Trend: Temporary rallies that are typically weak and unsustainable.

Given current conditions, COIN is still subject to persistent selling intensity, with upside rebounds remaining fragile. For long-term investors, the prudent approach is to stay defensive, hold cash, or consider inverse instruments to hedge against market declines.

The strategy of avoiding exposure since July has preserved capital and successfully managed downside risk. Looking forward, there is a 62% probability of COIN entering a Bullish zone within the next 4 days. Should this transition occur, it could signal a favorable re-entry point for long-term accumulation.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

From a short-term perspective, COIN is transitioning from a rebound phase into a deeper downtrend. Selling intensity is building, and any small upward movements are likely to be short-lived. Traders should therefore adopt an active selling strategy at local peaks and minimize long positions until trend confirmation.

That said, short-term signals suggest an upcoming Buy opportunity:

• Buying Window: Aug 20–21 at approximately $327.1

• Selling Window: Aug 26–27 at approximately $363.7

This setup indicates a tactical swing trade opportunity, but traders must be disciplined in execution and risk management.

COIN also shows a 77% correlation with the US Stock Market Average Index, meaning its short-term forecast is sensitive to broader market conditions. While the correlation is moderate, significant moves in the market index may alter COIN’s trajectory within the forecast period.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

• Forecast Range: $311.2 – $359.1

• Expected Change: -2.0% to +13.1%

• Median Price Outlook: $335.2 (+5.5%)

• Trend Reversal Probability: High around 5 days from today

• Expected Trend Zone Shift: From Bearish (-56%) to Bullish (+14%)

• Trend Intensity: Upward ~72% vs. Downward ~-29%

Overall, the next 10 days are expected to show more upward bias than downward, with a ratio of 1:9 for down vs. up movements. Volatility remains controlled, suggesting that the Pretiming system’s predictions for this period carry relatively low risk of sudden deviations.

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5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

The prior forecast also emphasized a Bearish outlook with cautious positioning. Today’s analysis confirms the continuation of that Bearish bias but introduces a clearer short-term Buy signal in 4 days, marking a shift from pure risk avoidance to tactical opportunity-seeking. The probability of a Bullish transition has also increased, now at 62%, versus lower odds in earlier reports.

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6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• For Long-Term Investors: Maintain a defensive stance. Continue to “Sell and Observe” until a confirmed Bullish breakout materializes. Avoid rushing into COIN until the Bearish zone is decisively exited.

• For Short-Term Traders: Prepare for a tactical swing trade opportunity around Aug 20–21 (Buy ~$327), with an exit target near $363 by Aug 26–27.

• Risk Management: Monitor the US Stock Market Index closely, as COIN’s short-term movements remain moderately tied to overall market sentiment.

In conclusion, COIN is in a late-stage Bearish environment with limited downside left and a potential Bullish shift approaching. Conservative long-term investors should stay cautious, while nimble short-term traders may soon find profitable entry and exit windows.