SPRㅣNASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily: The NASDAQ remains structurally bullish but is entering a corrective adjustment, where short-term selling pressure outweighs buying momentum.

SPRㅣNASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily
Jan 14, 2026
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1. Comprehensive Daily Analysis of NASDAQ’s Price Action and Market Drivers

The NASDAQ closed at 23,471.8 (-1.00%), reversing early strength and ending the session lower as profit-taking pressure intensified across major tech constituents. The index’s intraday pattern reflected a weakening demand environment—initial buying interest faded by midday as investors shifted into risk-reduction mode.

Sentiment appeared cautious, driven by multiple factors:
• Waning momentum after several bullish sessions
• A rotation away from high-beta tech toward defensives
• Anticipation of macro headlines later in the week, limiting aggressive positioning

Despite remaining within a broader bullish structure, the market tone leaned defensive today, signaling that short-term participants are pruning exposure ahead of potential volatility.
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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The NASDAQ remains in a Bullish zone, where the prevailing structure favors upside continuation and supports a Buy and Hold strategy. Historically, bullish environments exhibit persistent higher highs interspersed with mild pullbacks—conditions consistent with recent price action.

However, risks are rising. With buying energy plateauing, signs of a potential shift to a Bearish phase have emerged. Investors should:

1. Monitor trend weakening: Continued deterioration in momentum could mark the beginning of a zone transition.

2. Prepare defensive hedging: A partial exit or risk management layer is appropriate if the index loses key support.

The bullish stance has been held for 3 days, producing a -0.8% cumulative drawdown, a reminder that bullish zones can contain soft patches as trend cycles mature. The probability of entering a Bearish structure within 3 days sits at 72%, placing increased emphasis on capital preservation and reallocation discipline.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
Long-term investors can continue participating in the uptrend but should stay alert. A tactical hedge or gradual trimming may help protect gains if a Bearish transition materializes sooner than expected.
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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Short-term dynamics reflect shifting momentum. Although the NASDAQ technically resides in a bullish zone, the early stage of a correction trend is now visible—upside strength is fading while downside pressure widens.

This environment supports:
• Selective participation rather than aggressive accumulation
• Gradual selling into strength
• Opportunistic rebuying once corrective pressure stabilizes

Trading conditions are expected to lean downward, supported by shifting Buy-Sell intensity toward sellers, even with the index above structural trend lines.

Near-term execution framework:
• Status Today: SELL bias
• Ideal Buy Window: Jan 16–Jan 20 at 23,100.8
• Ideal Take-Profit Window: Jan 23–Jan 26 at 23,583.3

Market correlation remains high, with NASDAQ moving 76% in sync with the US market index, meaning index-level forces will likely dictate directionality.

Average scenario expectations:
• If rising: +0.6% closes, highs to lows between 0.9% ~ -0.2%
• If falling: -0.8% closes, daily range between +0.5% ~ -1.1%

➡️ Analyst Insight:
Short-term traders should capitalize on lower-risk entry points after weakness rather than buying pullbacks prematurely. The correction trend implies better reward asymmetry after volatility settles.
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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

The next 10 days are forecasted to favor a downward trajectory, with trend probability skewed 7 : 3 toward selling pressure. Expected move intensity reinforces this tilt—downward movement stronger, upward strength only moderate.

Forecast metrics:
• Price Range: 23,159.1 ~ 23,534.8
• % Change: -1.3% ~ +0.3%
• Median Expectation: 23,346.9 (-0.5%)
• Trend Strength Outlook: Shifts from Bullish 32% today → Bearish -22% expected

Volatility risk is elevated due to sudden changes in Buy-Sell strength and a higher probability of multiple inflection points, projected around Day 0, Day 6, and Day 9.

➡️ Interpretation:
The NASDAQ is entering a consolidation-to-correction phase where downside control becomes the dominant driver. Investors should position more defensively and expect choppy activity before clearer momentum resumes.
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5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

Factor	Prior Outlook	Current Outlook	Change
Trend Bias	Bullish continuation	Correction bias emerging	⬇ Momentum deterioration
Investor Position	Buy/Hold	Sell bias ST, Hold LT	Strategy split by horizon
10-Day Direction	Sideways to mildly up	Downward dominant	Clear shift lower
Risk Level	Moderate	Elevated	Increased downside probability
Ideal Action	Add on dips	Sell strength → Buy deeper dips	Turned defensive

Summary: The directional tone has transitioned materially from accumulation-friendly to caution-required as correction signals strengthen across timeframes.
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6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• Long-term trend remains intact but is weakening—investors should watch for bearish transition triggers
• Short-term strategy favors selling strength, preserving capital for better entry zones
• Next meaningful opportunity likely arrives after further correction
• High correlation to US index movements increases forecast sensitivity
• Expect choppy price behavior and volatility until selling energy exhausts

Overall, capital protection and disciplined patience matter more than chasing entries at current levels.
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7. Investment Strategy Summary

The NASDAQ remains structurally bullish but is entering a corrective adjustment, where short-term selling pressure outweighs buying momentum. Long-term investors may continue holding with readiness to reduce exposure if Bearish conditions develop, while short-term traders should prioritize selling into strength and rebuying during planned discount zones. With momentum turning defensive and volatility elevated, the coming sessions favor selective action rather than broad accumulation.

 

[SPR] NASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily: The NASDAQ remains in a Bearish zone, justifying a continued Sell and Observe posture for strategic allocation. However, short-term conditions support a Buy and Hold stance, with defined buying and selling windows ahead.

 

[SPR] NASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily:

Dec 19, 2025 | NASDAQ Closing Price: 23,307.6 (+1.31%)

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1. Comprehensive Daily Analysis of NASDAQ’s Price Action and Market Drivers

On Dec 19, 2025, the NASDAQ closed at 23,307.6, gaining +1.31% on the day. This advance reflects a strong rebound attempt within a broader Bearish trend zone, driven by a sudden shift toward stronger buying intensity despite the prevailing negative classification.

The sharp upside move suggests that downside momentum has weakened meaningfully. Although the index remains within a Bearish zone, price behavior now points to accumulation rather than distribution, indicating that selling pressure has largely been absorbed at current levels.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The long-term trend zone remains Bearish, and the strategically appropriate position continues to be “Sell and Observe.” This zone is historically associated with lower expected returns and elevated downside risk, even during intermittent rebounds.

The Sell and Observe position has been maintained for 4 days, during which the cumulative return stands at +1.1%, confirming that risk has been effectively managed while allowing flexibility during the rebound phase.

Importantly, there is now a 53% probability of entering a Bullish zone within 5 days, which represents a notable improvement in medium-term conditions.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
While long-term exposure should remain cautious, the improving probability profile suggests that investors should prepare for a potential regime shift rather than remain purely defensive.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

From a short-term perspective, the NASDAQ is still technically in a Bearish zone, but price action clearly indicates the early formation of a rebound trend. Buy–Sell intensity has shifted abruptly toward buying dominance, even within bearish conditions.

Based on today’s closing price, the appropriate short-term stance is “Buy and Hold.” The next ideal buying window is expected in 2 days, between Dec 22 and Dec 23, with a favorable entry level near 23,344.6. Additionally, a projected selling window is identified in 8 days, between Dec 30 and Dec 31, near 24,363.3.

• Average closing price when rising: +0.7%

  • High–Low range: +1.0% ~ -0.2%

• Average closing price when falling: -0.8%

  • High–Low range: +0.5% ~ -1.1%

➡️ Analyst Insight:
Short-term participants can maintain exposure while remaining alert to abrupt intensity shifts, which may temporarily increase volatility.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

The 10-day outlook strongly favors upward continuation:

• Directional Ratio (Down : Up): 1 : 9

• Projected Price Range: 23,284.3 ~ 24,225.1

• Expected % Change: -0.1% ~ +3.9%

• Median Forecast Price: 23,754.7 (+1.9%)

Trend reversal probabilities indicate Today and approximately 9 days from now as potential inflection points.

➡️ Interpretation:
The forecast suggests a high likelihood that the rebound phase persists, with limited downside risk relative to upside potential over the next two weeks.

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5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

Relative to prior forecasts, the current trend level remains deeply Bearish at -88%, yet the expected average trend level over the next 10 days has improved to +17% (Bullish). This divergence reinforces the view that the market is forward-looking a regime change, even before the official trend zone shifts.

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6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

The NASDAQ is transitioning from a selling-driven decline into a buying-supported rebound phase. Although the long-term trend classification remains Bearish, improving momentum, rising Bullish probabilities, and a strong upside-biased forecast suggest that downside risks are diminishing rapidly.

Volatility remains elevated due to sudden Buy–Sell intensity shifts, but the broader risk–reward balance is now tilting favorably.

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7. Investment Strategy Summary.

The NASDAQ remains in a Bearish zone, justifying a continued Sell and Observe posture for strategic allocation. However, short-term conditions support a Buy and Hold stance, with defined buying and selling windows ahead. With a 53% probability of entering a Bullish zone within 5 days, the index is approaching a potential inflection point that warrants close monitoring and tactical readiness.

NASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily: While the broader trend remains technically Bearish, the market is moving toward a pivotal point.

NASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 7, 2025
Index Closing Price: 21,242.7 (+0.35%)

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📊 1. Today's Market Flow

The NASDAQ edged up by 0.35%, closing at 21,242.7 and continuing its upward grind within a Bearish trend zone. The market is now displaying clear rebound characteristics, with moderate buying intensity emerging amidst what was previously dominant selling pressure.

This marks a notable transition phase, where the broader downtrend is pausing, and the index is exhibiting signs of forming a sideways box pattern—an indication of market indecision and stabilization. Importantly, the probability of entering a Bullish trend zone in the next 3 days has risen to 68%, signaling growing momentum behind this rebound.

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🧭 2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Despite the recent gains, the NASDAQ remains in the Bearish zone, and the recommended investment posture remains "Sell and Observe." This approach continues to protect against downside risk and avoid premature long exposure.

However, investors should take note of the following developments:

• The cumulative return since the Bearish signal (Jul 29 → Aug 7) is now +0.7%, a modest gain within a high-risk zone.

• A potential transition to a Bullish zone is approaching, with a 68% likelihood in the next 3 days.

• A trend reversal could justify a shift from capital preservation to tactical accumulation, particularly for medium-to-long-term investors seeking upside participation.

Selling Price (Jul 29): 21,098.3
Current Price (Aug 07): 21,242.7
Difference: +144.4 points

Investors should begin preparing entry strategies in anticipation of a Bullish confirmation, while still exercising patience until confirmation occurs.

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⚡ 3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The short-term market structure has evolved into a rebound trend within a Bearish environment, characterized by a box pattern—with small dips and moderate upward swings.

Current momentum suggests a neutral stance is most appropriate:

• Buying flow is strengthening, especially at market open, but upward movement is limited.

• Volatility remains high, with rapid shifts in Buy-Sell intensity.

• Near-term trend favors upward movement slightly more than downward, but both directions are expected to have moderate strength.

Recommended Sell Window: August 8–11
Target Sell Price: 21,633.3

Recommended Buy Window: August 18–19
Target Buy Price: 21,181.7

Traders are advised to stay on the sidelines or maintain light exposure until a clear breakout occurs. The strategy should be to sell into strength, and buy on dips only after confirming trend support.

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📉 4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook Summary and Insights

• Trend Pattern: Sideways Box Pattern

• Direction Probability Ratio (Down:Up): 4 : 6

• Trend Strength: Moderate in both directions

• Forecasted Price Range:

  • Lower Bound: 21,200.4 (-0.2%)

  • Upper Bound: 21,572.6 (+1.6%)

  • Median: 21,386.5 (+0.7%)

Trend Zone Expectations:

• Current: Bearish -65%

• Next 10-Day Average: Bullish +5%

• Past 30-Day Average: Bullish +10%

Trend Intensity Forecast:

• If Upward: +42% avg

• If Downward: -35% avg

Expected Daily Movements:

• If Rising: Average gain +1.0%, range +1.4% ~ -0.4%

• If Falling: Average loss -1.0%, range +0.6% ~ -1.5%

Trend Reversal Alert: Expected around 6 days from now, potentially signaling entry into Bullish territory.

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🔄 5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast (Aug 5, 2025)

• The NASDAQ has rebounded +326 points from the Aug 5 low of 20,916.6 to 21,242.7.

• The Bearish trend level has softened from -96% to -65%, suggesting fading downward pressure.

• The likelihood of a Bullish transition has risen significantly, from 54% to 68%.

• The strategy has shifted from Buy (Bullish) and Hold to a more Neutral position, awaiting stronger signals before committing to either side.

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🧠 6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

🔹 For Long-Term Investors:

• Stay defensive, but monitor the increasing signs of a trend reversal.

• If the Bullish entry is confirmed (within 3 days), consider gradual equity re-entry and rotation out of cash/defensive positions.

• Use this week to prepare watchlists and allocation models.

🔸 For Short-Term Traders:

• Adopt a Neutral stance while price consolidates.

• If price reaches 21,633.3, it may offer a short-term selling opportunity.

• Plan re-entry on weakness near 21,181.7 after Aug 18.

Summary:

While the broader trend remains technically Bearish, the market is moving toward a pivotal point. The sideways structure and rising probability of a Bullish transition make this a strategic moment to observe, plan, and prepare. Both short- and long-term investors should watch for a breakout confirmation before acting decisively.

NASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily: The long-term trend remains firmly Bearish, where the recommended investment posture is “Sell and Observe.”

NASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 5, 2025
Index Closing Price: 20,916.6 (-0.65%)

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📊 1. Today's Market Flow

The NASDAQ closed down 0.65% today at 20,916.6, continuing its retreat from recent highs and confirming the prevailing Bearish trend zone. The market is currently in a clear downtrend phase, with strong selling pressure driving prices lower, only briefly interrupted by shallow rebounds.

Today’s decline reinforces that selling strength remains intact, although momentum indicators suggest a potential inflection point may form in the coming sessions. The probability of a transition to a Bullish trend has increased to 54% within the next 7 days, indicating a tactical shift may soon be required.

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🧭 2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The long-term trend remains firmly Bearish, where the recommended investment posture is “Sell and Observe.” This stance helps investors avoid exposure to market declines and positions them to re-enter at more attractive levels once a Bullish trend is confirmed.

Over the past 5 trading days, this risk-averse strategy has resulted in a -0.9% cumulative loss since the bearish signal on July 29, compared to a broader index drop of similar magnitude, demonstrating effective capital preservation through strategic withdrawal.

Selling Price (Jul 29): 21,098.3
Current Price (Aug 05): 20,916.6
Difference: -181.7 points

However, with the probability of entering a Bullish zone rising to 54%, investors should prepare for a potential re-entry strategy. A proactive stance—such as reducing cash holdings and gradually increasing equity exposure—could be warranted if bullish confirmation emerges by mid-August.

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⚡ 3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Despite being in a Bearish zone, short-term dynamics are shifting. The market currently exhibits a classic downtrend: strong price drops with brief recoveries. But technical analysis signals a change is near.

The next 10-day trend is expected to form an ascending rectangle pattern, typically a bullish consolidation setup. The directional movement ratio is forecasted at 4:6 (Down:Up), but notably, the upward intensity is stronger than the downward pressure.

Recommended Buy Date: August 6–7
Target Buy Price: 20,699.4

Recommended Sell Date: August 13–14
Target Sell Price: 21,325.7

The appropriate short-term stance is “Buy (Bullish) and Hold.” Positioning for upside over the next 7–10 days appears favorable, particularly if the market responds positively to any macroeconomic data or earnings surprises.

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📉 4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook Summary and Insights

• Expected Trend Pattern: Ascending Rectangle

• Price Range Forecast (Next 10 Days):

  • Lower Bound: 20,729.4 (-0.9%)

  • Upper Bound: 21,259.1 (+1.6%)

  • Median Price: 20,994.2 (+0.4%)

• Turning Points Expected: In 3 days and again in 8 days

• Volatility Warning: Forecasts remain subject to change due to rapid Buy-Sell intensity shifts

Trend Zone Analysis:

• Last 30-Day Average: Bullish 15%

• Current: Bearish -96%

• Expected Next 10 Days: Bearish -37%

Trend Intensity Forecast:

• Upward Movement Average Intensity: +55%

• Downward Movement Average Intensity: -33%

Average Price Change Stats:

• If Rising: +0.9% avg, range +1.4% ~ -0.6%

• If Falling: -1.1% avg, range +0.5% ~ -1.7%

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🔄 5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

Compared to August 4, 2025:

• The NASDAQ has continued its slide, now down 181.7 points from the Jul 29 selling signal.

• While the trend remains Bearish, market internals are strengthening, and technical structure has shifted from a descending to an ascending rectangle, indicating improved short-term sentiment.

• Probability of Bullish transition rose from 0% to 54%, marking a notable shift in expectations.

• Short-term strategy has moved from Sell(Bearish) to Buy(Bullish) and Hold, reflecting this evolution.

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🧠 6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

🔹 For Long-Term Investors:

• Continue to observe the market while holding cash or inverse positions.

• Prepare for tactical rotation into long exposure if bullish confirmation occurs in the next 7 days.

• Watch for a shift to Bullish zone as a signal for medium-to-long term reentry.

🔸 For Short-Term Traders:

• Initiate buying between Aug 6–7, targeting 20,699.4 as a buy zone.

• Plan to sell around Aug 13–14 at 21,325.7, capitalizing on a potential 2–3% rally.

• Stay nimble. While trends are turning, volatility remains elevated.

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Summary: The NASDAQ remains technically Bearish, but momentum is shifting bullish in the short term. Use early August weakness to enter positions ahead of a potential trend reversal. Aggressive accumulation may be rewarded, particularly if upcoming economic or earnings data supports the rebound.

NASADAQ: This uptick appears to be part of a nascent rebound trend forming within the larger bearish framework.

NASDAQ Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 4, 2025
Index Closing Price: 21,053.6 (+1.95%)

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📊 1. Today's Market Flow

The NASDAQ Composite rebounded sharply today, rising 1.95% to close at 21,053.6. Despite the broader market remaining in a Bearish trend zone, today's movement marked a short-term reversal attempt, with buying momentum strengthening within an otherwise downtrending environment.

This uptick appears to be part of a nascent rebound trend forming within the larger bearish framework. Key technical indicators show that selling pressure has started to ease, giving way to a more volatile but upward-inclined fluctuation pattern.

*Key Events Affecting the Trend

On August 4, 2025, the NASDAQ and broader U.S. stock markets rebounded, registering significant gains. This upward movement was primarily driven by several key factors:

• Strong Corporate Earnings: Investor sentiment improved following robust earnings reports, notably with technology-heavy NASDAQ stocks leading the rally. For example, Palantir shares rose significantly after the company reported revenue surpassing $1 billion for the first time.

• Recovery From Previous Losses: The stock market had experienced a downturn the previous Friday due to worries over new tariffs and a disappointing jobs report that spurred concerns about economic stability. On August 4, the S&P 500 rose approximately 1.5%, the NASDAQ nearly 2%, and the Dow rebounded by about 585 points, recovering much of Friday’s losses.

• Broad-Based Rally: More than 80% of S&P 500 stocks advanced, with the gains not limited to a single sector. The recovery was seen across technology, industrials, and small-cap stocks.

• Market Sentiment: While recent labor market data raised some recession concerns, investors responded positively to signs that companies were weathering economic headwinds better than expected. The optimism outweighed residual caution from macroeconomic challenges.

In summary, the NASDAQ and other major U.S. indexes rose on August 4, 2025, fueled by encouraging corporate earnings, a broad equity rebound after a previously weak session, and renewed investor optimism in the face of mixed macroeconomic signals

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🧭 2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The long-term outlook remains firmly situated in a Bearish trend zone. This zone is characterized by:

• Persistent downward pressure

• Weak or temporary upward rebounds

• Low expected returns and elevated downside risk

Currently, investors should maintain a "Sell and Observe" stance. This strategy has been in place for 4 days since the bearish entry and has helped avoid losses, with the cumulative return during this bearish period standing at -0.2%.

Given the 0% probability of transitioning to a Bullish zone within the next 10 days, there are no technical indications justifying a strategy shift. Investors should remain defensive and await a confirmed breakout into the Bullish zone before considering long-term re-entry.

Selling Price (Jul 29): 21,098.3
Current Price (Aug 04): 21,053.6
Difference: -44.7 points

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⚡ 3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

In the short term, while the trend is still bearish, a rebound trend is emerging—evidenced by:

• Diminishing selling momentum

• Increased buy-side activity within the zone

• Buy-Sell intensity flipping in favor of buyers

As such, short-term strategy should remain bearish-biased, but tactically flexible. The suggested positioning is "Sell (Bearish)", with today or tomorrow representing prime selling windows.

Recommended Sell Date: August 5
Target Sell Price: 21,246.2

The forecast also identifies a buying opportunity emerging between August 14–15, as prices are expected to dip and present better value levels.

Target Buy Date: August 14–15
Target Buy Price: 20,730.5

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📉 4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook Summary and Insights

• Trend Pattern: Descending Rectangle

• Direction Probability Ratio (Down:Up): 2 : 8

• Directional Strength: Upward trend moderate / Downward trend strong

• Price Range Forecast (Next 10 Days):

  • Lower Bound: 20,770.3 (-1.3%)

  • Upper Bound: 21,201.5 (+0.7%)

  • Median: 20,985.9 (-0.3%)

Volatility remains high, driven by abrupt changes in buy/sell intensity. Caution is warranted around the predicted turning points—expected today and in 8 days, as these may define trend shifts.

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📅 5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

Compared to the last outlook on July 29, 2025:

• The NASDAQ has seen minimal net change (-44.7 points), reflecting a flat but volatile range-bound structure.

• The trend zone has remained Bearish, yet the current trend level% has improved slightly (from near -100% to -93%), suggesting early signs of easing pressure.

• The market is aligning closely with the prior forecast’s Sell and Observe recommendation, continuing to protect capital from drawdowns.

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🧠 6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors:

• Stay on the sidelines. No signs point to a transition toward a Bullish zone.

• Wait for confirmation of a trend reversal before entering long positions.

• Inverse ETFs or hedging strategies may still be considered to manage downside exposure.

For Short-Term Traders:

• Sell aggressively into current strength today or tomorrow.

• Watch for buying conditions around August 14–15 at ~20,730.

• Avoid overexposure during rebound fluctuations; the bearish trend still dominates overall.

Summary:

The market may experience a short-term rebound, but long-term momentum remains negative. Use the coming days to rebalance risk, lock in profits from any upside, and prepare for re-entry near mid-August at more favorable prices.