Tuesday, August 12, 2025

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily: The next 10 days might be bumpy with ups and downs, so manage your risk by not investing all your money at once.

 

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 12, 2025
Closing Price: $16.20 (+1.38%)


Today's Market Flow

On August 12, 2025, RGTI’s stock price closed at $16.20, which is 1.38% higher than the previous day. Today, the stock showed strength by going up steadily, but at the market open, there was some selling pressure which made the price move down briefly. Despite this, buyers came back and pushed the price higher by the end of the day. This kind of movement — small dips followed by stronger rises — is common in a bullish (upward) market.


Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

RGTI is currently in a Bullish trend zone. This means the stock price is generally moving upward over a longer period. For long-term investors, the best strategy is Buy and Hold — buy the stock now and keep it for a while without selling frequently.

Here’s why:

  • When a stock is in a bullish zone, it tends to go up over time, even if it has small temporary drops.

  • Since August 6, when RGTI entered this bullish zone, the price has already risen by 1.3%.

  • However, there is about a 54% chance that RGTI could enter a Bearish zone (a downward trend) within the next 8 days. This means investors should be ready to protect their money if the price starts to drop.

What should long-term investors do?

  • Keep holding RGTI for now because the upward trend is still strong.

  • But be ready to sell or reduce your holdings if the stock shows signs of a downtrend soon.

  • Protect your investment by keeping some cash ready, just in case the price falls.


Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

For short-term traders (those who buy and sell quickly), the situation is a bit different.

  • Right now, RGTI is still in a bullish zone, but there are signs of growing selling pressure — meaning some investors are starting to sell the stock.

  • The best approach for now is to stay Neutral — don’t buy more shares yet, but watch the price closely.

  • Experts predict a good time to buy will be between August 14 and 15, at around $15.10. This means waiting for the price to drop a bit before buying.

  • A good time to sell will be between August 18 and 19, when the price may rise to about $16.70.

This strategy helps short-term investors make profits by buying low and selling high within a few days.

RGTI’s price generally moves along with the US stock market about 70% of the time, but 30% of the time it moves in the opposite direction. This means sometimes RGTI may go up when the US market goes down, and vice versa. So, don’t rely only on the general market trend — watch RGTI’s own movement carefully.


10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

  • Expected price range over next 10 days: Between $14.60 (which is about 9.8% lower than today) and $16.50 (about 2.0% higher).

  • Median price expected: Around $15.60, which is a 3.9% decrease from today’s price.

  • The stock is still in a bullish zone but is expected to weaken somewhat over the next 10 days (trend strength dropping from 32% to 7%).

If the trend improves:

  • The price could move strongly upward with about 78% strength.

If the trend worsens:

  • The price could fall strongly with about 56% intensity.

Volatility (price ups and downs) may increase in the coming days due to changes in buying and selling behavior. Key possible turning points when the trend might change are expected about 1 day, 4 days, and 6 days from now.


Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

  • Long-term investors: It’s a good time to keep holding RGTI because the overall trend is up. But stay alert for signs that the stock might start falling, so you can protect your money.

  • Short-term investors: Wait to buy until mid-August when the price is expected to drop slightly, then plan to sell by the end of the third week of August for profit.

  • Remember, the stock can move differently from the general US market sometimes, so don’t just follow the market blindly.

  • The next 10 days might be bumpy with ups and downs, so manage your risk by not investing all your money at once.

Monday, August 11, 2025

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily: RGTI remains in a momentum-favorable Bullish phase with strong accumulation patterns.

 

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 11, 2025
Ticker: RGTI (Rigetti Computing)
Closing Price: $16.00 (+3.50%)


1. Today's Market Flow

RGTI posted a strong advance of 3.50% to close at $16.00, extending its position firmly within the Bullish zone.
Intraday movement was characterized by brief pullbacks followed by strong buying pressure, signaling sustained investor confidence.
The Buy-Sell intensity shifted notably from a previously weak buying flow to a suddenly strong accumulation trend, suggesting momentum buyers are stepping in aggressively.

* Key Factors Driving RGTI Today

Rigetti Computing's (RGTI) stock surged by 3.5% on August 11, 2025, closing at $15.98, ahead of its highly anticipated Q2 earnings report scheduled for August 12. Several key factors from major U.S. financial media explain this price movement:

  • Anticipation of Q2 Earnings Release: Investors are eagerly awaiting Rigetti's quarterly results. Despite expected revenue decline (projected at $1.87M, down 39% YoY), analysts foresee a narrowed loss per share, which has raised optimism about the company’s ability to control costs and move closer to commercial viability.

  • Momentum in Quantum Sector & Analyst Upgrades: The stock has experienced significant momentum — up over 1,700% in the past year — fueled by intense investor interest in quantum computing technology. Multiple analysts recently increased their price targets and maintained “Buy” ratings, signaling confidence in Rigetti's strategic direction and technological progress. This sentiment was reinforced by positive coverage in major reports and market commentary.

  • Speculation and Volatility Ahead of Earnings: As quantum computing remains a high-risk, high-reward sector, options traders and institutional investors positioned for significant price movement (with expected volatility of up to 12%) as the earnings update approaches. This led to a spike in trading volume and contributed to the day’s rally.

  • Technological Advancements: Rigetti’s ongoing improvements in scalable quantum hardware (such as milestones with its 36-qubit system) and efforts to win major contracts are viewed as critical growth drivers, especially as the company aims to demonstrate progress in R&D conversion and market adoption.

Overall, the run-up in RGTI on August 11 was driven by mounting anticipation for its financial results, bullish analyst sentiment, sector momentum, and expectation that meaningful technological breakthroughs are imminent. Volatility remains high, and investor focus is firmly on whether Rigetti can deliver progress in commercialization and operational execution in its next report.


2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

  • Current Trend Zone: Bullish (maintained for 3 days since Aug 6, 2025)

  • Recommended Position: Buy and Hold

  • Risk/Return Profile: High return potential, low downside risk in current zone.

  • Trend Dynamics:

    • Uptrend Phase: Sustained upward flow with only temporary and mild downward moves.

    • Correction Phase: Historically short-lived, limited in depth, followed by upward recoveries.

  • Bearish Trigger: Exit strategy required if the trend enters Bearish territory — currently 0% probability within 10 days.

  • Performance Since Entry: -0.1% cumulative return since Bullish confirmation.

Long-term Outlook:
Maintaining Bullish zone momentum offers continued capital appreciation potential. With buying pressure intact and no trend deterioration signals, holding positions is favored over short-term trading churn.


3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

  • Current Market Position: Bullish zone with strengthening buying momentum.

  • Optimal Strategy:

    • Aggressive accumulation at technical entry points.

    • Partial profit-taking into price spikes to recycle capital.

  • Expected Movement (Next 10 Days):

    • Direction Ratio: Upward 80% / Downward 20%

    • Intensity: Upward movement strong; downward moves moderate.

  • Timing Windows:

    • Next Buy Window: Aug 14–15 @ ~$17.10

    • Next Sell Window: Aug 19–20 @ ~$21.30

  • Market Correlation: 69% aligned with U.S. Stock Market Average Index; 31% inverse correlation — capable of moving counter to macro market trends.


4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook Summary

  • Price Range Projection: $14.90 – $20.60

  • Potential Change: -7.0% to +29.2% from current level

  • Median Target: $17.80 (+11.1%)

  • Trend Probability:

    • Current Bullish Level: 23%

    • Forecast 10-Day Average: 69% Bullish

  • Intensity Forecast:

    • Upward: Avg 84% (Max 100%)

    • Downward: Avg -43% (Min -100%)

  • Pattern Signals: Possible trend turning point in ~8 days; high volatility possible due to Buy-Sell intensity shifts.


5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors:

  • Continue Buy and Hold stance; trend structure favors sustained appreciation.

  • Monitor for early Bearish transition signs, though probability remains near zero in the short term.

For Short-Term Traders:

  • Favor tactical buys during Aug 14–15 dip opportunities near $17.10.

  • Target profit-taking in Aug 19–20 range around $21.30.

  • Manage position sizing to exploit the 80/20 upward-to-downward probability advantage.

Overall:
RGTI remains in a momentum-favorable Bullish phase with strong accumulation patterns. The risk/reward profile over the next 10 days is tilted heavily toward upside, with limited correction depth expected. Strategic positioning should balance core holdings with opportunistic short-term trades to maximize returns while preserving capital gains.

Saturday, August 9, 2025

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily: RGTI remains a Bullish-zone stock with attractive upside potential. While minor corrections may occur, the broader setup favors gains over the next 10 days.

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 8, 2025
Ticker: RGTI (RGTX)
Closing Price: $15.40 ▼ -1.40%


1. Today's Market Flow

RGTI closed at $15.40, declining 1.40% from the prior session.

  • Intraday action: The session saw mild selling pressure, with price drifting lower in the afternoon.

  • Volume profile: Trading activity remained near its 10-day average, suggesting the decline was orderly rather than panic-driven.

  • Trend context: The stock remains within a Bullish zone, though momentum showed early signs of transitioning toward a short-term Correction Trend.

*Key Factors Driving RGTI and the U.S. Stock Market Today

RGTI (Rigetti Computing):

  • Stock Movement: On August 8, 2025, RGTI closed at $15.44, down 1.4% for the day, with after-hours trading slightly higher at $15.50.

  • Recent Trends & News Influences:

    • Quantum Breakthrough Hype: Optimism around a recent scientific breakthrough involving "neglectons," particles identified by University of Southern California researchers, boosted quantum stocks like Rigetti earlier in the week, though the initial rally moderated by Friday.

    • Analyst Sentiment: Multiple Wall Street analysts have maintained bullish ratings, with price targets ranging from $14 to $19 and notable "Buy" recommendations from Needham (Aug 4), B. Riley (Jul 23), and others. This reflects overall positive expectations for Rigetti's progress toward commercializing quantum technology.

    • Options and Institutional Activity: Active options trading suggests growing investor interest, while significant share accumulation by major institutions such as BlackRock in Q1 2025 points to longer-term confidence in Rigetti's quantum milestones (e.g., development of its 36-qubit system).

    • Volatility & Caution: Despite recent advances, revenue concerns and the experimental nature of quantum computing keep the stock volatile, with cautious investor outlook balancing optimism against sector risks.


2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Trend Zone: Bullish – “Buy and Hold” stance maintained.

In the Bullish zone, RGTI is characterized by a strong upward flow interspersed with mild pullbacks. The current setup suggests:

  • High return potential with low downside risk as long as the bullish structure holds.

  • Buying pressure remains intact, sustaining the broader upward trend.

  • No shift to a Bearish zone is expected in the next 10 days (probability: 0%).

Positioning:

  • Investors with a medium- to long-term horizon should maintain Buy and Hold exposure.

  • If the trend remains Bullish, the probability favors continued appreciation.

  • Bearish zone entry would serve as the long-term sell trigger.

Current Status:

  • Bullish zone entry date: Aug 6, 2025

  • Days in position: 2

  • Cumulative performance since entry: -3.4%


3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Current Outlook:

  • Market is Bullish, but near-term action indicates the start of a Correction Trend as momentum eases.

  • Strategy:

    • Take advantage of strong buying conditions by adding positions at favorable levels.

    • In correction phases, consider partial profit-taking and repurchasing at lower prices.

Tactical Plan:

  • Buy window: Aug 11, target entry near $15.40.

  • Sell window: Aug 13–14, target exit near $20.00.

Market Correlation:

  • Correlation with US Stock Market Average Index: 70% (moves in same direction)

  • Reverse correlation probability: 30%
    → Potential for independent price action even when the broader market trends differently.

Risk Assessment:

  • Trend reversal risk: ~5 days and ~8 days out.

  • Volatility: Low, given stable Buy-Sell intensity alignment with current trend conditions.


4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook Summary

Directional Bias:

  • Upward-to-downward ratio: 6:4 – upward moves expected to dominate.

  • Upward intensity: High

  • Downward intensity: Moderate

Price Projections:

  • Upper bound: $20.00 (+29.8%)

  • Lower bound: $14.40 (-7.0%)

  • Median target: $17.20 (+11.4%)

Trend Zone Probability:

  • Last 30 days avg.: Bullish 14%

  • Current: Bullish 15%

  • Next 10 days forecast: Bullish 75%

Expected Intensity:

  • If upward: Avg. +84% (Max 100%)

  • If downward: Avg. -46% (Min -100%)


5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors:

  • Maintain Buy and Hold exposure; bullish structure remains intact.

  • No Bearish trigger expected in the next 10 days.

  • Potential for strong returns if upward trend continues uninterrupted.

For Short-Term Traders:

  • Primary trade: Buy near $15.40 (Aug 11) → Target $20.00 within 4 days.

  • Monitor for momentum slowdown signaling deeper correction.

  • Partial profit-taking in correction phases can improve returns.

Bottom Line:
RGTI remains a Bullish-zone stock with attractive upside potential. While minor corrections may occur, the broader setup favors gains over the next 10 days. Tactical entries in the coming sessions may yield outsized short-term returns while reinforcing long-term positioning.

 

NVDA Pretiming Report_Daily: While the broader trend remains bullish, near-term caution is warranted due to emerging correction patterns and heightened downside intensity in the forecast.

 

NVDA Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 8, 2025
Ticker: NVDA [NVDL/NVDQ]
Closing Price: $182.70 (+1.07%)


1. Today’s Market Flow

NVIDIA closed higher at $182.70, up 1.07% from the prior session, extending its position in the Bullish trend zone for the fourth consecutive day since entry on August 4, 2025. Intraday price action reflected continued buyer dominance, though momentum showed signs of moderating toward the close. The current price is $2.70 above the initial bullish entry point of $180.00, representing a +1.5% cumulative return within this zone.

While bullish momentum remains intact, model projections indicate a 38% probability of transitioning to a Bearish zone within the next 5 trading days, warranting tactical risk management consideration.

* Key Factors Driving NVDA and the U.S. Stock Market Today

NVDA’s Outperformance

  • Record S&P 500 Weight: NVIDIA has surpassed Apple as the largest-weighted stock in the S&P 500 as of August 2025, driven by accelerated demand for AI chip technology and rapid expansion in data center computing. This structural change marks a shift in index concentration toward high-growth tech and AI sectors.

  • Strong Earnings Expectations: Anticipation is high ahead of NVIDIA's upcoming earnings (scheduled for August 27), with consensus estimates projecting a sharp rise in both revenue and earnings per share compared to last year. Recent performance shows a 10% monthly stock gain, outpacing market peers and sector averages. Investors are positioning for further growth given NVIDIA's strategic dominance in AI and semiconductor innovation.

  • Stock Performance: On August 8, NVDA closed at $182.74, up +1.09% for the day, beating gains in the broader indices.

  • Tech Leadership and Index Records: Apple’s rally and gains among other major technology stocks powered the Nasdaq to a new record closing high, while the S&P 500 finished near its own record. The Nasdaq is up roughly 11% year-to-date, highlighting the strength of the tech sector as a market driver.

  • Rate Cut Optimism: Growing expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts provided key support for equities. Recent soft economic data and anticipatory policy statements amplified hopes for upcoming rate reductions, encouraging investor risk appetite and propelling tech shares.

  • Tariff News: President Trump's recent actions regarding proposed tariffs on semiconductor imports influenced market sentiment significantly. Assurance that tariffs would not immediately impact U.S.-based manufacturers eased fears, allowing a recovery in both chip stocks like NVIDIA and index futures.

  • Sector Rotation and Weekly Gains: Utilities and consumer staples outperformed cyclicals, while financials and healthcare lagged. All major indices posted gains for the week, with the Nasdaq up 3.9% and the Dow rising 1.3%.

  • Earnings Season Momentum: The latest round of corporate results, including strong guidance from leading firms, added buoyancy. Estimated Q2 earnings growth for S&P 500 companies reached 13.2%, exceeding forecasts and supporting stock price resilience.


2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

  • Trend Zone: Bullish

  • Investment Stance: Buy and Hold

  • Rationale: The Bullish zone is characterized by sustained upward flows with mild corrective phases. Current market structure supports ongoing accumulation for investors with multi-month horizons.

  • Macro View: Elevated buying pressure and limited downside risk contribute to an attractive risk-reward setup. Investors positioned since August 4 should continue to hold, with a strategic plan to shift defensive if momentum weakens and the Bearish zone probability increases further.

  • Risk Trigger: Bearish zone entry — would shift long-term strategy from Buy and Hold to Reduce/Exit Positions.


3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

  • Current Tactical Zone: Bullish, approaching Correction Trend phase

  • Short-Term Stance: Near-term Sell (Bearish) bias emerging

  • Rationale: Price momentum is showing early signs of deceleration, indicating an imminent shift into a sideways-to-downward box range pattern over the next 10 days. Forecast model projects an 8:2 ratio in favor of downward movements, with stronger downside intensity relative to upside potential.

  • Trade Plan:

    • Sell Window: August 12–13, 2025

      • Target Sell Price: $186.10

    • Buyback Window: August 15–18, 2025

      • Target Buy Price: $178.70

  • Market Correlation: NVDA’s price direction aligns with the U.S. Stock Market Average Index with 83% probability, suggesting index volatility will be a key driver of short-term performance.


4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook Summary and Insights

  • Price Range Forecast: $179.80 – $185.50

  • Expected Change: -1.6% to +1.5%

  • Median Price: $182.70 (current close)

  • Trend Probability:

    • Current: Bullish 31%

    • 10-Day Forward: Bearish -6% (avg)

  • Intensity Forecast:

    • Upside: +39% (Max +100%)

    • Downside: -65% (Min -100%)

  • Turning Points Expected: ~2 days and ~9 days from now

  • Volatility: Low, due to balanced buy-sell flow, but downside moves expected to be sharper than upside moves in the near term.


5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

  • For Long-Term Investors: Maintain Buy and Hold positions while the Bullish zone remains intact. Be prepared to reduce equity exposure if Bearish zone probability rises beyond current 38% or price action breaks below the $179.80 lower bound.

  • For Short-Term Traders: Consider taking profits in the August 12–13 window and re-entering near the projected $178.70 buy zone. Given the high correlation to the U.S. market, monitor macro index trends closely.

  • Overall Bias: While the broader trend remains bullish, near-term caution is warranted due to emerging correction patterns and heightened downside intensity in the forecast.