TMC Pretiming Report_Daily
Date: September 15, 2025
📊 Today's Market Flow
TMC closed at $5.40, down −1.63% on the day. This marks the first day in the new Bullish zone, entered on September 12, 2025, at a buy price of $5.50. Current performance shows a −1.6% decline, though the zone classification suggests potential upside ahead.
-
Trend Context: Momentum is shifting from a strong upward trend into the early stages of a correction phase, where gains slow and temporary pullbacks emerge.
-
Buy-Sell Flow: While buying intensity remains supportive, it has begun to weaken, creating space for near-term fluctuations before potential renewed strength.
🏦 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
-
Trend Zone: TMC has transitioned into a Bullish environment (7% level) after spending much of the past month in Bearish territory (average −35%).
-
Investment Position: The recommended strategy remains Buy and Hold, as bullish entry points typically precede strong upward flows.
-
Outlook: Over the next 10 days, the trend level is expected to rise toward 55% Bullish, indicating an expanding base of buying pressure.
-
Investor Guidance: Long-term investors should stay positioned. Corrections in the early Bullish zone often represent accumulation opportunities rather than exit signals.
📈 Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
-
Current Position: The stock is transitioning into a correction trend as buying pressure softens. Despite this, the overall structure remains bullish.
-
Trade Timing:
-
Buy Opportunity: Projected for Sep 16 at approximately $5.40.
-
Sell Opportunity: Expected around Sep 18–19, with a potential target near $6.80.
-
-
Tactical Approach:
-
Consider scaling into positions at $5.40.
-
Take partial profits at strength near $6.80, while maintaining a core bullish position.
-
🔮 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights
-
Trend Direction: The next 10 days show a 5:5 ratio of upward to downward days, but upward moves are projected to be stronger in intensity than downward pullbacks.
-
Forecast Range:
-
Upper Bound: $6.60 (+20.8%)
-
Lower Bound: $5.20 (−4.0%)
-
Median Price Target: $5.90 (+8.4%)
-
-
Volatility: Moderate, with steady buy-sell intensity. Predictive models suggest low volatility in timing accuracy.
-
Turning Points: Potential trend reversals projected ~2 days and ~5 days from now, pointing to short-term choppiness before strength resumes.
-
Correlation to U.S. Market:
-
Moves with U.S. index 59% of the time.
-
Moves counter to the index 41% of the time.
-
Implication: Low-to-moderate correlation means TMC may diverge from broader market moves, offering independent trading opportunities.
-
📌 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts
-
For Long-Term Investors: TMC’s shift into the Bullish zone marks the start of a potentially significant upward cycle. Holding through early corrections is advised.
-
For Short-Term Traders:
-
Accumulate near $5.40 (Sep 16).
-
Target profit-taking around $6.80 (Sep 18–19).
-
-
Risk-Adjusted View: With a forecasted median gain of +8.4% over 10 days, TMC presents a favorable near-term risk/reward. However, expect short-term volatility and potential pullbacks before the trend strengthens.
✅ Analyst’s Note:
TMC is showing early signs of a bullish recovery following extended weakness. While still in the early stage of trend reversal, the probability of meaningful upside outweighs downside risk. Traders should be tactical, while long-term investors can view current levels as an accumulation phase within a new bullish cycle.
