NVDA Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 25, 2025
Closing Price: $179.8 (+1.02%)

1. Today's Market Flow

NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $179.8, marking a +1.02% daily gain. Despite being in a Bearish trend zone, the stock demonstrated resilience through a short-term rebound pattern, characterized by an ascending rectangle movement. This indicates temporary buying pressure supporting the price within a box-like trading range.

Investor sentiment remains cautious but is leaning toward optimism, given the 82% probability of transitioning into a Bullish zone within the next 1 trading day. This shift, if confirmed, would mark the end of a short-term bearish cycle and present an opportunity for accumulation.

2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Currently, NVDA remains in a Bearish trend zone, where the prevailing investment stance is “Sell and Observe.”

Risk & Return Outlook: Bearish zones are associated with lower expected returns and higher downside risk, as selling pressure dominates and upward rebounds are often weak or short-lived.
Trend Breakdown:
- Downtrend Phase: Strong downside momentum with only brief relief rallies.
- Rebound Phase: Temporary upward moves with limited strength, vulnerable to renewed selling.
Strategic Guidance: Long-term investors should remain defensive. Holding inverse ETFs or sitting on the sidelines may help avoid unnecessary losses.
Bullish Transition Watch: With the probability of entering a Bullish zone rising to 82%, investors should prepare for a potential strategy shift. This would involve gradual re-entry into NVDA shares once the Bullish confirmation is signaled.

Importantly, long-term investors should maintain discipline: stay patient during the Bearish phase and prepare liquidity for redeployment once NVDA firmly re-establishes a Bullish trend.

3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

In the short-term, NVDA is experiencing a rebound trend inside the Bearish zone.

Tactical Play: During such rebounds, sell-on-strength can be used to hedge risk, while buying should be limited and conservative until a confirmed Bullish breakout emerges.
Buy Timing: Optimal entry is projected between Aug 27–28 at around $174.4.
Sell Timing: Short-term traders may look to exit positions between Sep 4–5 at around $185.7, targeting a swing profit.
Market Correlation: NVDA’s movements mirror the U.S. stock market index 83% of the time, suggesting traders should closely monitor the S&P 500 and Nasdaq for directional cues.
Volatility Outlook: Forecast volatility remains moderate, given balanced buy-sell intensity.

For active traders, this setup offers a tactical swing trade opportunity within the coming 7–10 days.

4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Expected Pattern: Ascending rectangle, tilted bullish.
Trend Bias: 0 : 10 ratio (favoring upward moves exclusively over the next 10 sessions).
Price Range Forecast:
- Lower Bound: $175.6 (-2.3%)
- Upper Bound: $184.7 (+2.7%)
- Median Price: $180.2 (+0.2%)
Trend Intensity:
- Upward momentum: +95% (near maximum strength)
- Downward momentum: -43% (moderate but limited risk)
Turning Point Projection: A possible trend reversal is anticipated in about 4 days, aligning with the expected Bullish transition window.
Zone Outlook:
- Last 30 days: Bullish 9%
- Current: Bearish -7%
- Next 10 days (expected): Bullish 25%

In short, NVDA is likely to shift from Bearish to Bullish in the coming days, with strong upward intensity supporting the outlook.

5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors: Stay patient. Maintain a Sell and Observe stance until the Bullish zone is confirmed. Once confirmation appears, begin gradual accumulation to capture the next growth cycle.
For Short-Term Traders: A tactical swing trade opportunity is emerging. Consider buying around Aug 27–28 ($174.4) and targeting a sell around Sep 4–5 ($185.7).
Key Risk: NVDA remains tightly correlated to the broader market. If the U.S. indexes weaken unexpectedly, NVDA’s bullish breakout could be delayed.
Action Point: Monitor closely for signs of a Bullish transition this week. Be prepared to shift from defense to offense quickly, as the probability of upward breakout is exceptionally high.

📌 Bottom Line:
NVDA is on the cusp of exiting a Bearish phase with a high likelihood of entering a Bullish zone. Short-term rebound dynamics provide near-term trading opportunities, while long-term investors should remain cautious but ready to deploy capital once confirmation of the Bullish shift is established.

[ SPR ] Stock Pretiming Report

Monday, August 25, 2025