ASPI Pretiming Report_Daily: ASPI remains in a Bearish long-term structure but is showing early signs of a short-term rebound, supported by renewed buying interest and improving momentum indicators.

 

ASPI Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: Oct 08, 2025
Closing Price: 9.1 (+2.30%)
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1. Comprehensive Daily Analysis of ASPI’s Price Action and Market Drivers

ASPI closed at 9.1, up 2.30%, marking a rebound within a prevailing bearish environment. The stock has been under sustained selling pressure for several sessions, yet today’s upward move signals a short-term stabilization phase driven by temporary buyer inflows.

Investor sentiment remains cautious, as the market continues to operate within a Bearish Zone — characterized by limited upward strength and dominant selling flows. However, short-term traders appear to be testing rebound levels amid expectations of a possible trend shift in the coming sessions.

The rebound trend observed today may be partially attributed to sector rotation into undervalued small-cap equities and technical oversold conditions. Meanwhile, macroeconomic sentiment from the U.S. market continues to influence ASPI with a 63% correlation, implying that any future moves in the U.S. index could affect ASPI’s near-term trajectory.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The current trend zone remains Bearish, and the suitable investment stance continues to be Sell and Observe. Within this Bearish zone, price movements alternate between strong downward flows and brief upward corrections — a structure offering low expected returns and heightened downside risk.

Despite a recent rebound, the broader structure suggests that selling pressure could persist before a sustainable recovery emerges. Long-term investors should maintain defensive positioning, observing market signals rather than engaging in premature entries.

The Bearish stance has been held for six consecutive days, successfully avoiding a cumulative –5.4% decline through disciplined risk management.
However, there is a 68% probability that ASPI will enter a Bullish Zone within the next four days, signaling potential preparation for a trend reversal strategy once confirmation emerges.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
For long-term investors, patience remains the optimal stance. Continue to observe market conditions and be ready to re-enter once the Bullish zone confirmation occurs. Early repositioning can provide advantageous exposure ahead of a structural uptrend.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

ASPI is currently in a rebound phase within the Bearish zone, where upward movements serve as temporary relief rallies. The recent shift in Buy-Sell intensity — from strong selling to a strengthening buying flow — suggests a short-lived opportunity for tactical traders.

Given this momentum shift, a Buy (Bullish) and Hold strategy may be appropriate in the near term, particularly for traders aiming to capture the anticipated short-term uptrend.

• Predicted Buy Timing: Oct 13 – Oct 14

  • Target Buy Price: 9.9

• Predicted Sell Timing: Oct 17 – Oct 20

  • Target Sell Price: 11.8

The market is expected to experience an upward-to-downward ratio of 9:1, indicating strong upward bias. Although volatility may persist, the upside intensity outweighs downward risks in the coming sessions.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
Short-term traders can prepare for a potential breakout between Oct 13–14. Gradual accumulation near 9.9 may offer an opportunity to capitalize on the expected rebound, but maintaining strict stop-loss levels remains essential given ongoing volatility.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Forecasted Range: 8.8 ~ 11.5
Expected % Change: –3.0% ~ +26.1%
Median Price: 10.2 (+11.6%)

Trend analysis projects a transition from Bearish (–97%) to Bullish (+17%) within the next 10 days.

• Upward Intensity: 73% (Max 100%)

• Downward Intensity: –32% (Min –100%)

• Probability of Bullish Entry: 68%

Volatility is expected to remain elevated due to unstable Buy-Sell intensity and potential turning points approximately 6–9 days ahead.

➡️ Interpretation:
The market is signaling an approaching inflection point. Investors should anticipate a strong bullish attempt as the trend begins to reverse, but maintain flexibility in execution. A breakout above 10.0 could serve as an early confirmation of trend reversal.

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5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

Category	Previous Forecast	Current Update	Change
Trend Zone	Bearish	Bearish (Rebound Phase)	Short-term momentum improving
Investment Stance	Sell and Observe	Buy (Bullish) & Hold (Short-Term)	Tactical shift
Probability of Bullish Entry	65%	68%	Slight increase
Price Forecast	8.6 ~ 11.2	8.8 ~ 11.5	Expanded upper range
Correlation with U.S. Market	62%	63%	Stable

The updated forecast suggests increasing momentum strength and an improved probability of a near-term bullish breakout, even though the long-term stance remains cautious.

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6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• Long-Term Investors: Maintain defensive positioning. Wait for confirmation of entry into a Bullish zone before initiating new long positions.

• Short-Term Traders: Prepare for a tactical entry near 9.9 within the next few sessions. The risk-reward setup favors upside potential if momentum continues.

• Risk Management: Volatility remains high; implement tight stop-loss measures and monitor momentum reversals around Oct 13–14.

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7. Investment Strategy Summary

ASPI remains in a Bearish long-term structure but is showing early signs of a short-term rebound, supported by renewed buying interest and improving momentum indicators. While the long-term strategy remains Sell and Observe, the near-term setup favors selective short-term buying opportunities for traders seeking tactical exposure. Investors should stay alert for a potential Bullish zone confirmation in the coming week, as it may mark the start of a broader trend reversal phase.