COIN Pretiming Report_Daily: COIN is nearing a potential rebound phase after weeks of heavy selling. However, until the Bullish zone is confirmed, both long- and short-term investors should remain cautious, prioritize capital preservation, and prepare to act quickly if the upward breakout solidifies.

COIN Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 21, 2025
Closing Price: $300.3 (-1.35%)

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1. Today’s Market Flow

Coinbase (COIN) closed at $300.3, down -1.35% from the previous session.
The stock remains in a Bearish trend zone, reflecting ongoing selling pressure and cautious investor sentiment.

Over the past 21 days, COIN has consistently remained in this Bearish zone, accumulating a decline of -24.5% since July 23, 2025. This performance highlights the importance of risk management and defensive positioning.

Selling activity continues to outweigh buying pressure, although signs of a potential rebound trend are emerging as downward momentum begins to slow.

*Key Factors Driving COIN Today

• Sluggish Trading Activity and Revenue Decline
  Coinbase’s Q2 financial results showed a significant drop in transaction revenue (down 39% from the previous quarter) and overall trading activity, which led to revenues missing Wall Street expectations. This signaled to investors that activity on the platform was slowing sharply, a trend exacerbated by lower volatility in crypto markets.

• Unfavorable Subscription Guidance
  The company provided a less-than-enthusiastic outlook for its subscription revenue. This forecast, combined with weak trading performance, resulted in analysts revising price targets downward and, in some cases, lowering their stock ratings for COIN.

• Broader Market and Macroeconomic Sentiment
  Disappointing macroeconomic data and renewed trade tariff discussions in the U.S. weighed heavily on risk assets, including crypto-related equities like Coinbase. Worries about recessions and shifting trade policies have increased the perceived risk of holding high-beta stocks tied to digital assets.

• Comparative Underperformance in the Crypto Sector
  While Coinbase posted disappointing numbers, some competitors—such as Robinhood—reported growth in their crypto trading revenue, highlighting Coinbase’s unique challenges amid a sector-wide backdrop of changing risk tolerance.

• Shift in Market Behavior and Regulatory Uncertainty
  Crypto markets entered a phase of lower volatility and reduced trading, partially due to investors holding assets during a bullish crypto cycle and awaiting further clarity on U.S. regulations. Sector-wide anticipation of key data releases, possible Fed rate cuts, and major regulatory updates also contributed to market caution, limiting upside for trading-focused platforms like Coinbase.

In summary, COIN’s decline on August 21 was driven by disappointing earnings, a weak outlook, diminished market volatility, mounting macroeconomic pressures, and evolving sector dynamics—all of which combined to sour investor sentiment toward Coinbase stock.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Trend Zone: Bearish

• Recommended Position: Sell and Observe

In the long-term view, COIN is still locked in a Bearish cycle. Historically, Bearish zones are marked by:

• Downtrend: Persistent declines with minor recoveries.

• Rebound Trend: Short-lived upward movements within a downward framework.

For long-term investors, remaining defensive is the most suitable stance:

• Continue holding cash or alternative positions until COIN transitions into a Bullish zone.

• The “Sell and Observe” strategy has been effective in preserving capital, avoiding further downside exposure.

• There is a 60% probability of entering the Bullish zone within 4 days, which could present the next significant buying opportunity.

Until then, maintaining caution remains the most prudent long-term approach.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Current Position: Neutral

• Key Observation: Market is preparing to shift from a downtrend into a rebound trend.

Short-term strategy highlights:

• Buying Window: Aug 22–25, with a target entry price around $305.1.

• Selling Window: Aug 28–29, with a target exit price around $330.7.

• Trend Expectation (10 days): 70% upward movement vs. 30% downward movement.

Investors should:

• Stay conservative during short-term rebounds.

• Use upward surges as selling or hedging opportunities.

• Consider low-exposure purchases only when the rebound confirms stability.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

• Projected Price Range: $294.3 ~ $327.3

• Expected % Change: -2.0% ~ +9.0%

• Median Forecast Price: $310.8 (+3.5%)

Additional Forecast Insights:

• Turning Points: Likely trend shifts today and again around 7 days from now.

• Correlation with U.S. Market Index:

  • Moves in sync: 76% probability

  • Moves independently: 24% probability

• Trend Intensity:

  • Upward moves: Avg. +56% strength

  • Downward moves: Avg. -52% strength

• Average Closing Prices:

  • Rising days: +3.7% (high ~ +5.1%, low ~ -1.3%)

  • Falling days: -2.3% (high ~ +1.6%, low ~ -3.8%)

Overall, COIN is forecasted to lean upward in the next 10 days, but volatility tied to the broader U.S. stock market remains a critical factor.

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5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• For Long-Term Investors:
  Stay patient. Continue with a Sell and Observe stance until COIN confirms entry into a Bullish zone. Risk remains elevated, but a potential Bullish shift within days could create a strong buying setup.

• For Short-Term Traders:
  Neutral positioning is appropriate until confirmation of the rebound. Consider light buying between Aug 22–25 and aim for profit-taking between Aug 28–29 near $330.7.

Bottom Line:
COIN is nearing a potential rebound phase after weeks of heavy selling. However, until the Bullish zone is confirmed, both long- and short-term investors should remain cautious, prioritize capital preservation, and prepare to act quickly if the upward breakout solidifies.

RXRX Pretiming Report_Daily: The current environment supports active risk management through selling during upward moves.

 

RXRX Pretiming Report_Daily

📅 Date: August 20, 2025
📊 Stock: RXRX | Closing Price: $4.80 (-6.29%)

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🔍 Today's Market Flow

RXRX experienced a sharp decline of 6.29% on August 20, closing at $4.80. This drop marks a continuation of bearish momentum that has gripped the stock since entering the Bearish Trend Zone just one day ago. So far, risk-averse strategies based on this trend classification have helped investors avoid losses of approximately -6.3%.

This decline occurred amid a broader market showing signs of uncertainty, and due to RXRX's 73% correlation with the U.S. stock market index, its movements are closely tied to overall market sentiment.

*Key Factors Driving RXRX and the U.S. Stock Market Today

RXRX Stock Decline 

• Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) dropped by -6.3% following notable insider selling worth $3.26 million, heightening concerns over the company’s financial sustainability and investor confidence.

• The company’s quarterly financials revealed deep operating losses: operating revenue was $19.22million versus total expenses of $195.45million, resulting in a net income of -$171.9million. General and administrative costs, along with research expenses, surged dramatically.

• Negative investor sentiment was amplified by bleak financial ratios, including a daunting -1003.2% EBIT margin and ongoing operational losses, which fuel doubts about long-term viability.

• Persistent insider sales and high volatility further rattled the market, creating uncertainty around RXRX’s business trajectory and spooking potential buyers.

U.S. Stock Market Movements 

• Tech stocks led Wall Street’s second day of declines, with the Nasdaq Composite falling 2.2% amid heightened concerns about the future of AI and risk adjustment ahead of a key speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

• Profit-taking and rotation out of big tech stocks was widespread, with some investors shifting to undervalued sectors like biotech and healthcare, which had not participated significantly in the year's rally.

• Market breadth remains unusually narrow—recent rallies have been driven by a handful of large-cap, mostly AI-linked stocks. The broader market’s participation has been weak, increasing risks of a reversal.

• Investors are increasingly defensive amid optimism about prospective Fed rate cuts, ongoing tariff impacts, and uncertainty over inflation. The Federal Reserve’s July minutes revealed considerable uncertainty, especially regarding the effects of recent tariffs and inflation trends.

• Analysts warn that equity valuations are stretched, with S&P 500 price-to-earnings ratios at historically high levels and signs of deteriorating consumer spending and slowing employment growth.

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In summary: RXRX’s steep drop resulted from poor financials, insider selling, and shaken investor sentiment. U.S. markets saw declines primarily from tech sector profit-taking, narrow market leadership, defensive positioning ahead of Fed signals, and doubts about economic strength despite optimistic valuations.

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📈 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Trend Zone: Bearish
Current Position: Sell and Observe
Time in Bearish Zone: 1 Day
Cumulative Return Since Entry: -6.3%

The current bearish environment signals continued downward pressure with limited upside. In such a zone:

• Downtrends dominate: strong downward momentum with brief, unsustained rebounds.

• Rebound Trends are weak: short-lived upticks that rarely shift overall direction.

In a bearish zone, risk of capital loss is high, and the potential for upside gains remains limited. Thus, a defensive strategy is prudent, including:

• Selling existing positions

• Observing from the sidelines

• Re-entering only when the trend shifts to a Bullish zone

📌 Medium to long-term investors should remain cautious and avoid premature entries. Instead, prepare to re-engage if a bullish transition occurs—currently estimated to have a 33% probability within the next 6 days.

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📉 Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Trend Type: Downtrend
Investment Position: Neutral
Risk Level: Moderate to High

The stock is currently experiencing a strong downtrend, characterized by:

• Sustained declines

• Temporary, weak rebounds

• Persistent selling pressure

In this environment, the recommended short-term actions are:

• Sell into strength during brief upswings

• Avoid aggressive buying

• Adopt a wait-and-see approach

✅ Best Sell Opportunity: Aug 26–27
🎯 Target Sell Price: $5.50

✅ Best Buy Opportunity: Sep 2–3
🎯 Target Buy Price: $5.00

Given RXRX’s high market correlation, any shifts in the U.S. stock index could influence this timing.

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📅 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook

📊 Expected Price Range:
$4.50 – $5.40
% Change: -6.0% to +13.6%
📍 Median Price: $5.00 (+3.8%)

📈 Forecast Pattern: Ascending Rectangle
🟦 Trend Ratio (Down:Up): 6:4
📉 Downtrend Intensity: Moderate
📈 Uptrend Intensity: Moderate

Volatility: Low
Trend Reversal Probability:

• ~3 Days from now

• ~7 Days from now

📈 If the trend rises:
Average Upward Intensity: +42%

📉 If the trend continues downward:
Average Downward Intensity: -41%

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🧠 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

🔒 For Long-Term Investors:

• The Bearish zone warrants caution.

• Avoid entering long positions until the trend shifts to bullish.

• Maintain a Sell and Observe strategy while preparing for a potential re-entry if a bullish signal appears (33% chance in the next 6 days).

🔓 For Short-Term Traders:

• The current environment supports active risk management through selling during upward moves.

• Best time to sell: August 26–27 at ~$5.50

• Best time to buy: September 2–3 at ~$5.00

• Stay closely aligned with U.S. market index trends due to the 73% correlation.

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📌 Final Strategy Summary

Investment Horizon	Recommended Position	Action
Long-Term	Sell and Observe	Wait for Bullish signal
Short-Term	Neutral	Trade around range ($4.50–$5.40)

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Note: All forecasts are based on current technical trends and may shift with broader market movements. Always reassess with updated data.

APLD Pretiming Report_Daily: APLD remains firmly in a Bullish zone, offering both long-term growth potential and near-term trading opportunities.

APLD Pretiming Report_Daily

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1. Today's Market Flow

APLD closed at $15.7, up 2.48% from the previous session.
The stock has been riding a strong upward trajectory within a Bullish trend zone, reflecting continued investor demand. Since entering the Bullish phase on Aug 1, 2025, the price has advanced from $12.5 to $15.7, delivering a 13-day cumulative return of 25.6%.

The market flow remains resilient, with buying strength significantly outpacing selling pressure. Short pullbacks are occurring but remain shallow, reinforcing the presence of an active uptrend.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Trend Zone: Bullish

• Investment Position: Buy and Hold

• Duration in Current Zone: 13 days

• Cumulative Return Since Entry: +25.6%

• Probability of Entering Bearish Zone (next 10 days): 0%

In a Bullish zone, two sub-trends exist:

• Uptrend: Strong upward moves with occasional pullbacks.

• Correction Trend: Mild, temporary declines followed by rebounds.

Currently, APLD remains in a clear uptrend, supported by strong demand and low risk of downside reversal. This favors long-term investors adopting a Buy and Hold approach.

The broader outlook suggests that, as long as the stock remains in the Bullish zone, upside potential outweighs downside risks. Should the trend shift into a Bearish zone, however, that would mark a clear exit point for long-term holders.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

APLD is in the midst of a strong short-term uptrend. Buying intensity has accelerated sharply, creating opportunities for active traders.

Suggested Tactical Approach:

• Buying Position: Initiate/add positions today or tomorrow (Aug 21) around $15.9.

• Selling Position: Partial profit-taking recommended within 2 days (Aug 21–22) around $18.4.

• Strategy: Aggressive short-term buying at support levels, followed by gradual selling to lock in gains.

Key Short-Term Insights:

• Current trend movement suggests an ascending rectangle pattern, with equal chances of upward and downward swings (5:5).

• However, upward moves are expected to carry greater strength than pullbacks.

• A trend reversal signal is possible around Day 3 and Day 8 from today, which traders should monitor closely.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

• Expected Price Range: $14.8 – $18.5

• % Change: -6.0% to +17.8%

• Median Target Price: $16.6 (+5.9%)

• Volatility: High, due to sudden shifts in Buy-Sell intensity.

Correlation with U.S. Market:

• Moves with U.S. stock index: 70% probability

• Moves against index: 30% probability
  ➡ This suggests a moderate correlation; while APLD often follows market trends, it retains enough independence to diverge meaningfully.

Trend Level Analysis:

• Last 30-Day Avg. Bullish Level: 10%

• Current Bullish Level: 47%

• Expected Next 10-Day Bullish Level: 61%

Trend Intensity Forecast:

• If upward: +76% average intensity (strong momentum)

• If downward: -42% average intensity (moderate weakness)

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5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• For Long-Term Investors: Maintain a Buy and Hold stance. With strong bullish momentum and low probability of reversal in the near term, the stock continues to offer attractive upside. Exiting should only be considered if the trend shifts into a Bearish zone.

• For Short-Term Traders: Opportunities lie in active buying around $15.9 and profit-taking near $18.4. The next 10 days present a volatile but favorable setup, with the possibility of sharp upward swings.

• Risk Factors: High volatility, potential correlation with U.S. market swings, and expected turning points around Day 3 and Day 8.

Final View: APLD remains firmly in a Bullish zone, offering both long-term growth potential and near-term trading opportunities. Both investor types can benefit by aligning with the prevailing uptrend, while staying alert for signs of reversal.