Saturday, August 23, 2025

EOSE Pretiming Report_Weekly: EOSE is strengthening within the Bullish zone, with both long- and short-term strategies favoring accumulation. With a projected median gain of +23% over the next 10 weeks and low downside probability.

EOSE Pretiming Report_Weekly

Date: Week of Aug 18, 2025

📊 This Week’s Market Flow

EOS Energy Enterprises (EOSE) closed the week at $6.3, gaining +7.85%. The stock continues to sustain its position in the Bullish trend zone, where it has remained for 5 weeks since Jul 14, 2025.

During this period, cumulative performance shows a 7.7% gain, as the stock transitions from a correction phase into a stronger uptrend. The probability of entering a Bearish zone within the next 10 weeks is currently 0%, underscoring the resilience of buying pressure.

Market behavior shows a moderate correlation with the Russell 2000 Index (69%), suggesting EOSE may often follow broader small-cap movements but still retains the potential to diverge due to sector-specific factors.

*Key Factors Driving EOSE This Week

1. Federal Loan Support and Earnings Momentum

Eos Energy received the second tranche of a $90.9 million loan from the U.S. Department of Energy, totaling $22.7 million. This infusion helped boost market confidence as it supports the company’s plan to expand domestic manufacturing. Additionally, their Q2 2025 earnings reported a remarkable 122% year-over-year revenue increase, highlighting strong sales growth in zinc-based battery solutions for grid and commercial applications.

2. Revenue Guidance and Pipeline Expansion

Despite reporting a substantial net loss of $222.94 million for Q2, Eos Energy reiterated its full-year revenue guidance ($150M–$190M), citing a robust commercial pipeline valued at $18.8 billion. Analysts focused on the company’s commitment to ambitious top-line growth, even as operating losses and cash burn remain key risks.

3. Stock Performance and Volatility

After-hours and pre-market trading saw modest upticks in share price, with EOSE closing at $6.32 on August 22 and posting gains in both extended sessions. However, volatility was notable, driven by strong earnings, federal loan disbursement, and high investor interest in the company’s domestic battery technology.

4. Market Perception and Analyst Sentiment

While intrinsic valuation estimates suggested a fair value near current trading levels (around $6.55), analysts continued to warn about persistent losses and frequent shareholder dilution. Despite these concerns, some retained optimistic outlooks due to the company’s operational progress and long-term market opportunity in energy storage.

In summary, EOSE was most influenced this week by federal funding and strong sales momentum, confidence in long-term growth despite ongoing losses, price volatility tied to news events, and a cautiously optimistic market narrative around American battery manufacturing leadership.

📈 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Trend Zone: Bullish
Recommended Position: Buy and Hold

In the Bullish zone, EOSE benefits from sustained buying pressure, which supports upward flows with relatively mild correction phases. This environment typically offers high expected returns with reduced downside risks.

For long-term investors, the strategy remains straightforward:

Maintain a Buy and Hold position to capture potential long-term gains.
Only consider selling when the stock enters a Bearish zone.

At present, there are no anticipated changes in the trend zone that would justify a shift in strategy. With the trend strengthening, investors should remain positioned for long-term appreciation.

⚡ Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

EOSE is transitioning from a Correction Trend into an Uptrend, as weaker buying intensity gives way to stronger upward momentum. This shift makes the current environment favorable for short-term accumulation.

Tactical Strategy:

Buy Aggressively at attractive entry points.
Sell Gradually on rallies to lock in profits, leaving room for re-entry at lower prices.

Key tactical levels:

Buy Window: Aug 25, 2025, at around $6.3
Sell Window: Sep 22–29, 2025, at around $10.5
Position: Buy (Bullish) and Hold

Short-term traders should capitalize on the strengthening upward flow while carefully managing partial profit-taking to maximize gains.

🔮 10-Week Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Expected Trend Shape: Strong upward bias with intermittent corrections
Direction Ratio: 3 (downward) : 7 (upward) → upward trend dominant
Intensity Bias: Upward moves stronger; downward moves moderate
Upper–Lower Range (10 Weeks): $5.6 – $10.0
Potential % Change: -12.0% ~ +58.4%
Median Expected Price: $7.8 (+23.2%)

Turning Points Forecast:

Possible reversals expected this week and again around 7 weeks ahead.

Zone Intensity Analysis:

Past 30 weeks average: Bullish (+16%)
Current level: Bullish (+18%)
Next 10 weeks projected: Bullish (+54%)
Expected strength:
- Upward: 81% (very strong)
- Downward: -44% (moderate)

📅 Key Considerations for Daily Strategy Based on Weekly Trend

Next week offers a strong entry point → dips near $6.3 are attractive accumulation levels.
Prepare for partial exits around $10.5 in late September to lock in profits.
Correlation with Russell 2000 Index (69%) means broader small-cap sentiment will matter, but sector momentum may allow independent moves.
Volatility Outlook: Low-to-moderate, with price action expected to stay aligned with strong Buy-Sell intensity.

📝 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors: Continue with a Buy and Hold stance. The probability of a Bearish shift is extremely low over the next 10 weeks, and the trend outlook remains supportive of sustained gains.
For Short-Term Traders: Use this week’s dip near $6.3 for accumulation. Target partial profit-taking around $10.5 in September, but maintain core exposure to benefit from potential continuation of the uptrend.

Bottom Line: EOSE is strengthening within the Bullish zone, with both long- and short-term strategies favoring accumulation. With a projected median gain of +23% over the next 10 weeks and low downside probability, the stock offers one of the most favorable setups among small-cap growth plays at this time.

COIN Pretiming Report_Weekly: COIN is still in a Bearish phase but approaching a possible rebound. While downside risks persist, the forecast suggests a growing probability of Bullish entry within the next month.

COIN Pretiming Report_Weekly

Date: Weekly of Aug 18, 2025

📊 This Week’s Market Flow

Coinbase (COIN) closed at $319.9, up +0.72% for the week. The stock remains in the Bearish trend zone, which has persisted for 2 weeks since Aug 04, 2025. During this period, COIN has recorded a 3.0% cumulative loss.

Price action suggests that while downward pressure is still dominant, there are early signals of a potential rebound trend as selling momentum begins to weaken. Market behavior is closely tied to the broader U.S. Stock Market Average Index, with a 72% correlation, meaning overall equity sentiment heavily influences COIN’s trajectory.

*Key Factors Driving COIN This Week

1. Federal Reserve Rate-Cut Signals

Coinbase’s stock gained momentum as the Federal Reserve Chair hinted at a possible interest rate cut at the Jackson Hole Symposium, sparking renewed risk appetite among investors. This positive macro signal also drove a surge in Bitcoin prices, which benefitted COIN’s performance.

2. Crypto Market Rally

A sharp rebound in Bitcoin—jumping from below $112,000 to nearly $116,500—boosted sentiment for crypto-related equities. The renewed speculative appetite in digital assets supported COIN’s weekly rally.

3. Launch of Nano XRP and SOL Futures

On August 18, Coinbase expanded its derivatives offering in the US by launching nano XRP and SOL perpetual futures. This product launch was seen as a strategic move to diversify revenue through derivatives, increase market accessibility, and attract both retail and institutional investors.

4. Regulatory Developments and Global Expansion

Growing optimism about US regulatory clarity continued to buoy COIN. Progress on the GENIUS Act and other pro-crypto bills has made the outlook for stablecoins more favorable, where Coinbase now plays a significant role. In addition, the company’s earlier regulatory approval in the EU and the launch of its Luxembourg crypto hub have strengthened its global presence and investor confidence.

5. Trading Suspension and Technical Volatility

On August 22, Coinbase suspended ERN trading due to closed migration bridges, leading to short-term trading volatility on the platform. Analysts also highlighted volatile price moves as options trading spiked throughout the week.

6. Q2 Earnings and Shifting Revenue Mix

Despite a record Q2 earnings beat earlier in the month, concerns linger about shrinking trading volumes. Coinbase is increasingly reliant on subscription and services revenue, especially from its stablecoin and derivatives businesses, as retail trading activity softens.

In summary, COIN was driven this week by central bank policy signals, a crypto market rally, strategic product launches, ongoing regulatory progress, technical trading factors, and a shift in its core revenue mix.

📈 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Trend Zone: Bearish
Recommended Position: Sell and Observe

COIN is currently in a Bearish environment, where selling pressure typically overwhelms rebound attempts. In this zone, the probability of sustained upward returns is low, while downside risk remains high.

For long-term investors, the strategy remains defensive:

Maintain a Sell and Observe stance, avoiding aggressive accumulation.
Treat this phase as a waiting period, monitoring conditions until the trend shifts back into a Bullish zone, which would mark a clear Buying point.

That said, probability models suggest a 57% chance of re-entering the Bullish zone within 4 weeks. If this shift occurs, investors should prepare to increase equity exposure and adopt a more aggressive Buy strategy to capture potential upside.

⚡ Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Short-term momentum still reflects the Bearish zone, but a rebound trend is forming as the steep decline shows signs of slowing.

Recommended Strategy:

Focus on risk reduction and avoid chasing upward spikes.
Use rallies as hedging or partial exit opportunities rather than initiating full positions.
Maintain a neutral stance on new buying until clearer confirmation of Bullish entry emerges.

Key tactical levels:

Buy Window: Aug 25, 2025, at around $316.7
Sell Window: Sep 15–22, 2025, targeting $470.0
Position: Neutral — adopt selective entries only if conditions improve.

🔮 10-Week Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Expected Trend Shape: Upward-biased movement after initial rebound
Direction Ratio: 4 (downward) : 6 (upward) → More weight on upside
Intensity Bias: Upward momentum moderately stronger than downward
Upper–Lower Range (10 Weeks): $287.9 – $450.1
Potential % Change: -10.0% ~ +40.7%
Median Expected Price: $369.0 (+15.4%)

Turning Points Forecast:

Possible reversals around 1 week, 6 weeks, and 9 weeks ahead.

Zone Intensity Analysis:

Past 30 weeks average: Bearish (-5%)
Current zone level: Bearish (-42%) → strong downside pressure
Next 10 weeks projection: Bullish (+37%) → potential recovery trend
Expected strength:
- Upward: 53% (moderate-to-strong)
- Downward: -44% (moderate)

📅 Key Considerations for Daily Strategy Based on Weekly Trend

Be cautious on short-term rebounds → Treat them as tactical opportunities for trimming exposure rather than chasing.
Prepare for a possible Bullish entry in 4 weeks → build watchlists and entry plans in advance.
High correlation with U.S. Index (72%) → Market-wide moves will strongly affect COIN’s path.
Volatility Outlook → Relatively stable due to balanced Buy-Sell intensity, but potential sharp reversals remain possible around predicted turning points.

📝 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors: Maintain a Sell and Observe approach. Avoid aggressive entry until a confirmed Bullish trend emerges. If the projected Bullish reversal occurs in 4 weeks, begin shifting toward equity accumulation.
For Short-Term Traders: Stay neutral to defensive. Sell into strength and use upward moves as exit points. A tactical Buy may be considered near $316–320 with strict stop-loss management, aiming for $450 as an upper target.

Bottom Line: COIN is still in a Bearish phase but approaching a possible rebound. While downside risks persist, the forecast suggests a growing probability of Bullish entry within the next month. Investors should stay cautious but prepare to pivot quickly if the trend confirms a shift upward.

TSLA Pretiming Report_Weekly: Tesla remains a strong performer in the Bullish zone. While the near-term forecast points to sideways consolidation, upward moves should remain the dominant force.

TSLA Pretiming Report_Weekly

Date: Weekly of Aug 18, 2025

📊 This Week’s Market Flow

Tesla (TSLA) closed the week at $340.0, marking a +2.86% gain. Over the past week, price action confirmed a continuation of the Bullish trend zone, with strong buying momentum outweighing brief corrective pullbacks.

Despite minor mid-week dips, buying pressure quickly absorbed selling activity, supporting a steady upward climb. The stock has now sustained its position in the Bullish zone for 16 consecutive weeks since Apr 28, 2025, delivering an 18.4% cumulative gain during this period.

Correlation remains high with the broader U.S. Stock Market Average Index (75%), indicating that Tesla’s near-term performance is likely to track overall market sentiment.

*Key Factors Driving TSLA This Week

1. Federal Reserve Policy Signals

Tesla’s stock rallied in response to dovish comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole Symposium. His remarks hinted at a potential interest rate cut, sparking a broad market rally, especially among risk assets and major tech stocks.

2. Cybertruck Price Hike & EV Market Dynamics

On August 22, Tesla announced a significant price increase for its top-tier Cybertruck model in the US, raising it by $15,000. The new Cyberbeast version now features Supervised Full Self-Driving and upgraded perks but sales remain below expectations amid recurring recalls and steep discounts being offered on other variants. These developments fueled discussions about demand and margins within US financial media.

3. Autonomous & Energy Business Expansion

Optimism is building around Tesla’s autonomous driving initiatives, especially as CEO Elon Musk confirmed the Robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, will launch publicly next month. Tesla’s ongoing efforts to secure regulatory approvals for autonomous operation in Arizona and its application to become a power supplier in the UK added to positive sentiment.

4. Technical Trading Levels & Volatility

Analysts highlighted key technical price levels all week. Resistance in the $350 range prompted short-term selling and speculation about possible declines toward the $307–$310 support if momentum faded. TSLA’s volatility remained elevated, with frequent moves exceeding 5% as traders reacted to both macro and company news.

5. General Market Trends

Tesla’s share price ended the week strong, closing at $340.01 on August 22, and rising further in after-hours trading. Overall, the company benefited from improved risk appetite across equity markets and ongoing interest in the EV and tech sectors.

In summary, TSLA was driven by macroeconomic policy signals, notable product price actions, ongoing innovation in autonomy and energy sectors, and sustained technical volatility.

📈 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Trend Zone: Bullish
Recommended Position: Buy and Hold

Tesla remains firmly in a Bullish trend zone. Within this zone, price movement typically alternates between Uptrend (strong upward flows with brief pullbacks) and Correction Trend (temporary declines with rebounds). Historically, this zone has offered high expected returns with lower downside risk compared to Bearish phases.

Long-term investors should maintain a Buy and Hold approach, focusing on holding positions rather than frequent trading. The upward potential is supported by ongoing buying strength and relatively mild correction phases.

However, risk management is essential:

There is a 51% probability of entering the Bearish zone within 10 weeks.
A defensive strategy—such as gradually reducing exposure and building cash reserves—may be prudent if signs of weakness or zone shifts emerge.

⚡ Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

For short-term traders, Tesla is currently in the midst of a strong uptrend with occasional brief declines. The recommended approach is to:

Buy aggressively at favorable entry points.
Sell gradually and partially on rallies, creating opportunities to re-enter at lower levels.

Key near-term strategy points:

Buy Window: Aug 25, 2025, at around $335.6
Sell Window: Sep 01–08, 2025, at around $393.3
Short-Term Position: Maintain Buy (Bullish) and Hold

Tesla’s short-term momentum is expected to continue, but traders should manage entries and exits carefully to capture profit while controlling risk.

🔮 10-Week Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Expected Trend Shape: Sideways box pattern
Direction Bias: 6 (downward) : 4 (upward) → More frequent dips than rallies
Intensity Bias: Upward moves stronger than downward moves
Upper–Lower Price Range (10 Weeks): $339.0 – $383.8
Potential % Change: -0.3% ~ +12.9%
Median Expected Price: $361.4 (+6.3%)

Trend Reversal Risk:

Estimated around 4 weeks from now.
Probability of Bearish entry: 51% within 10 weeks.

Zone Intensity Analysis:

Past 30 weeks average: Bearish (-10%)
Current level: Bullish (+16%)
Next 10 weeks projected: Bullish (+30%)
Expected strength:
- Upward: 66% (max)
- Downward: -37% (moderate)

📅 Key Considerations for Daily Strategy Based on Weekly Trend

Buy dips rather than chase rallies → Next week’s intraday pullbacks may provide better entry points near $335–340.
Manage exit timing carefully → Short-term rallies above $390 should be viewed as opportunities for partial profit-taking.
Correlation with Market Index → Since Tesla tracks the U.S. Stock Market Index (75% correlation), traders must watch macro market direction closely.
Volatility Outlook → Prediction volatility is relatively low due to stable Buy-Sell intensity, reducing the risk of unexpected sharp swings.

📝 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors: Maintain Buy and Hold in the Bullish zone. The trend supports continued gains, but monitor for Bearish entry signals within the next 10 weeks. Consider risk mitigation by gradually building cash if downside risks increase.
For Short-Term Traders: Use tactical entries near $335–340 and aim for profit-taking near $390+ in the coming weeks. Expect more frequent pullbacks than rallies, but rallies should be stronger in intensity.

Bottom Line: Tesla remains a strong performer in the Bullish zone. While the near-term forecast points to sideways consolidation, upward moves should remain the dominant force. Both long- and short-term investors can benefit by staying positioned on the bullish side, with disciplined risk controls in place.