NVDA Pretiming Report_Daily
Date: August 18, 2025
Closing Price: $182.0 (+0.86%)
1. Today’s Market Flow
NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $182.0, marking a modest +0.86% gain. The stock continues to trade within a Bullish zone, reflecting strong buying momentum supported by resilient market sentiment. Although brief intraday fluctuations were observed, the upward bias remained intact. NVDA’s performance also aligns closely with the U.S. Stock Market Average Index, with an 83% correlation, suggesting that broader market strength played a role in today’s upward close.
2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
The prevailing trend zone remains Bullish, making the Buy-and-Hold strategy the most suitable approach for long-term investors. Within this zone:
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Uptrend Phase: Characterized by strong upward flows with limited short-term pullbacks.
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Correction Phase: Involves mild, temporary declines before upward momentum resumes.
Historically, investing in this zone offers high return potential with limited downside risk. The strategy emphasizes holding positions over time rather than frequent trading.
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NVDA has maintained its Bullish zone status for 10 consecutive days, generating a cumulative return of +1.1% since entry (Aug 4, 2025).
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Current price vs. buying price: $182.0 vs. $180.0 (+$2.0 gain).
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Risk Outlook: There is a 46% probability of entering the Bearish zone within 4 days. Should this occur, shifting to a more defensive stance by trimming equity exposure and reallocating toward cash would be prudent.
Long-term view: As long as NVDA remains in the Bullish zone, upward momentum is expected to continue. A transition to a Bearish zone would serve as a clear Sell signal.
3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis
For short-term traders, NVDA is positioned at the beginning of an uptrend, as the recent correction trend shows signs of fading. This suggests a strengthening Buy-Sell intensity favorable for active trading.
Recommended strategy:
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Aggressive Buying: Take advantage of short-term entry points during dips.
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Gradual Selling: Implement partial profit-taking at peaks while preparing to re-enter at lower levels.
Forecasted Trading Windows:
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Selling Opportunity: Aug 19–20 at around $182.1.
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Buying Opportunity: Aug 21–22 near $178.6.
Pattern Expectation: The next 10 days are projected to form an ascending rectangle, with a balanced 5:5 ratio of upward to downward movements. However, upward momentum is forecasted to carry stronger intensity than the downside.
4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights
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Expected Range: $179.7 – $188.5 (–1.3% to +3.6%).
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Median Price: ~$184.1 (+1.1%).
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Trend Intensity:
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Upward: +69% (strong potential momentum).
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Downward: –54% (moderate correction risk).
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Trend Zone Outlook:
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Last 30-day average: Bullish 20%.
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Current: Bullish 27%.
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Next 10-day forecast: Bullish 11% (slightly weakening but still positive).
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Key Insight: The model predicts a strong possibility of continued upside, though risks of a short-term pullback remain. NVDA’s movements will remain highly dependent on U.S. market trends, given the strong correlation.
5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts
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Long-Term Investors: Continue a Buy-and-Hold strategy while monitoring for signs of a shift toward the Bearish zone. Defensive rebalancing may be necessary if downside pressures intensify.
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Short-Term Traders: Look to capitalize on near-term volatility through partial profit-taking between Aug 19–20 and re-entry opportunities around Aug 21–22.
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Market Context: NVDA’s trajectory is heavily linked to broader U.S. equity performance. Any significant market shifts could alter the short-term forecast.
Final Word: NVDA remains in a structurally Bullish environment, favoring patient long-term holders and disciplined short-term traders. With limited downside risk and continued upward potential, maintaining an optimistic yet risk-aware stance is recommended.
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