[SPR] NVDA Pretiming Report_Daily: NVDA continues within a bullish long-term trend, supporting a Buy-and-Hold stance, though short-term signals show weakening momentum and rising volatility.

 

[SPR] NVDA Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: Dec 05, 2025

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1. Comprehensive Daily Analysis of NVDA’s Price Action and Market Drivers

NVDA closed at $182.4 (-0.53%), showing a mild pullback following a strong multi-day rally. Despite entering the session within a firm bullish trend, investor sentiment leaned cautious as short-term selling intensity unexpectedly strengthened. This shift created a brief deceleration in upward momentum and led to intraday fluctuations marked by quick pullbacks and rebound attempts.

Market drivers included:

• Momentum shift from strong buying to an emergent selling pressure

• Profit-taking behavior after a multi-day uptrend

• Moderate macro-alignment, as NVDA’s correlation with the US market remains 76%, allowing for both aligned and independent price actions

• Sector rotation within semiconductors, where buyers temporarily lost dominance, allowing short-term sellers to surface

Overall, the day reflected a pause within an otherwise intact bullish structure, with investors recalibrating expectations ahead of high-volatility projections for the coming week.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

NVDA remains firmly within the Bullish trend zone, making the appropriate long-term stance Buy and Hold. Within a Bullish zone, price behavior typically alternates between:

• Uptrend: stronger rallies and shallow pullbacks

• Correction Trend: mild, temporary dips with upward fluctuations

Investing in this zone historically offers high return potential with relatively low downside risk, making trend-following accumulation attractive for long-term investors.

NVDA has now held the Bullish zone for 2 days, delivering a cumulative +1.6% return since the trend shift. No major structural deterioration is visible yet, though the probability of entering a Bearish zone within 3 days is elevated at 70%, requiring risk-control planning.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
Long-term investors can continue holding positions while preparing contingency plans should NVDA enter a Bearish zone shortly. Staying invested aligns with trend logic, but monitoring downside catalysts over the next few sessions is essential.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Short-term dynamics are more fragile than long-term conditions. NVDA is still in a bullish zone but may shift to a bearish zone within a few days, reflecting weakening buy-sell intensity. Despite the ongoing uptrend—characterized by strong upward moves interrupted by brief declines—the recent transition from strong buying to abruptly strong selling flow signals the beginning of a near-term cooling phase.

Short-Term Tactical Outlook:

• Position: Maintain Buy and Hold for now

• Next optimal buying window: Dec 08–09, around $177.5

• Next selling window: Dec 17–18, targeting $190.1

• Average price behavior:

  • Rising days: +1.4%, range (+2.0% ~ -0.9%)

  • Falling days: -1.1%, range (+0.8% ~ -2.1%)

Given elevated volatility risk and inconsistent buy-sell intensity, traders should target staggered entries near projected support while keeping profit-taking disciplined.

➡️ Analyst Insight:
Short-term traders should approach the next few sessions cautiously. The buying opportunity in 2 days provides a favorable risk-adjusted setup, but weakening momentum suggests tighter risk management and flexible execution.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Over the next 10 days, NVDA is projected to follow an ascending rectangle pattern, a structure where upward movement remains slightly dominant.

Forecast Highlights:

• Directional Ratio (Down : Up): 4 : 6 → Uptrend favored

• Expected intensity:

  • Upward intensity: moderately strong

  • Downward intensity: moderate

• Price Range: $178.8 ~ $188.6

• % Change: -2.0% ~ +3.4%

• Median Projection: $183.7 (0.7%)

Trend Zone Outlook:

• Last 30 days: Bearish -31%

• Current: Bullish 8%

• Next 10 days forecast: Bullish 10%

Trend Intensity Forecast:

• If rising → avg +60% intensity

• If falling → avg -46% intensity

Volatility is expected to be high due to unstable linkage in buy-sell strength, increasing the likelihood of rapid short-term shifts.

➡️ Interpretation:
The next 10 days are expected to maintain an overall bullish bias, but with noticeable volatility. Investors should prepare for wide swings and possible trend reversals, despite upward probabilities slightly outweighing downward risks.

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5. Comparison to Previous Daily Forecast

Category	Previous Forecast	Current Forecast	Change
Trend Zone	Bullish	Bullish	No change
Bearish Zone Entry Probability	Lower	70% within 3 days	↑ Increased risk
Short-Term Momentum	Strong buy-side	Shift to stronger selling flow	Negative shift
10-Day Trend Direction	Uptrend dominant	Uptrend still dominant (6:4)	Stable
Predicted Buy Window	Later period	Dec 08–09	Updated
Predicted Sell Window	Later	Dec 17–18	Updated
Forecast Volatility	Moderate	High	↑ Higher volatility

Summary of Change:
Short-term risk increased, selling intensity unexpectedly strengthened, and bearish-zone entry probability rose materially—even though the long-term bullish zone remains intact.

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6. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• Long-term investors: Maintain holdings but be prepared for a potential trend-zone shift into bearish territory within days.

• Short-term traders: Be selective. The next buy window (Dec 08–09) offers a more favorable entry than current levels.

• Risk management: Given forecast volatility, tighten stop levels and avoid oversized positions.

• Market sensitivity: NVDA’s moderate 76% correlation with the US index means market swings can influence direction, but decoupling is also possible.

Overall, NVDA remains structurally bullish, but short-term instability requires discipline and preparedness for rapid trend shifts.

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7. Investment Strategy Summary

NVDA continues within a bullish long-term trend, supporting a Buy-and-Hold stance, though short-term signals show weakening momentum and rising volatility. While upward movement remains slightly more probable in the next 10 days, the heightened risk of a near-term shift into a bearish zone warrants careful position management. Investors should maintain core holdings, look to accumulate on the projected buy window, and manage risk proactively as NVDA navigates a more unstable short-term environment.