Saturday, September 13, 2025

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily: RGTI is in the midst of a powerful bullish cycle, with robust upside momentum and limited near-term downside risk.

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: September 12, 2025

🔹 Today's Market Flow

Rigetti Computing (RGTI) surged to $19.1, closing up +14.38% on the session. The strong price action reflects powerful buying momentum and confirms the continuation of the Bullish trend that began two days ago.

Since entering the Bullish zone, RGTI has gained +17.9% in just two trading sessions. The stock is now trading above its short-term resistance levels, showing investor confidence and increased speculative activity in growth-oriented technology names.

🔹 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Current Zone: Bullish
Recommended Position: Buy and Hold

RGTI is firmly positioned in a Bullish trend zone, characterized by strong buying intensity and relatively mild corrections. For long-term investors, this environment presents high return potential with limited downside risks.

Key Points:

Uptrend vs. Corrections: In the current phase, RGTI is in a strong uptrend, with brief pullbacks quickly absorbed by buyers.
Risk Profile: Probability of entering a Bearish zone within the next 10 days is effectively 0%, signaling a stable bullish setup.
Investment Horizon: Long-term holders should continue to benefit from “buy and hold” positioning. Selling is only warranted once a Bearish zone emerges, which does not appear imminent.

Performance Snapshot (since Bullish entry, Sep 10):

Holding Period: 2 days
Bullish Cumulative Return: +17.9%
Current Price vs. Entry: +$2.9 (+17.9%)

🔹 Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Market Condition: Bullish zone with strong momentum
Recommended Position: Buy (Bullish) and Hold

The short-term setup favors continued upside. RGTI is in the midst of a powerful uptrend, marked by strong rallies with only shallow corrections. Buying intensity has shifted from moderate to strong, suggesting sustained demand.

Trading Guidance:

Sell Timing:
- Target Date: Sep 15, 2025
- Price Target: $20.5
Buy Timing:
- Target Dates: Sep 19–22, 2025
- Price Target: $18.3

This strategy balances profit-taking with opportunities to re-enter at lower levels during pullbacks.

🔹 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook

Forecast Pattern: Ascending rectangle with strong bullish bias
Downward : Upward Ratio: 7 : 3 (downward movements more frequent, but upward moves stronger)
Expected Price Range:
- Low: $18.5 (-3.2%)
- High: $20.4 (+6.9%)
- Median: $19.4 (+1.9%)
Turning Points: Likely trend reversals around Day 3 and Day 9
Trend Zone Outlook:
- Current: Bullish (+45%)
- Next 10 Days Expected: Bullish (+66%)
Intensity Forecast:
- Upward Movements: +69% strength
- Downward Movements: -41% strength

Volatility Note: With stronger buy-side momentum, RGTI’s near-term volatility is expected to remain elevated but favorable for bulls.

🔹 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors: Maintain Buy and Hold positioning. The bullish setup is stable, and no immediate shift in strategy is required. Upside potential outweighs risks over the medium horizon.
For Short-Term Traders: Aggressive buying remains effective, but profit-taking near $20.5 (Sep 15) is advised. A re-entry window around Sep 19–22 at ~$18.3 could offer an attractive second leg of opportunity.
Macro Linkage: RGTI shows a 71% correlation with the U.S. stock market index, meaning broader market sentiment will influence its movement. A strong U.S. market rally could accelerate gains, while market weakness could delay bullish continuation.

Bottom Line: RGTI is in the midst of a powerful bullish cycle, with robust upside momentum and limited near-term downside risk. Both long-term investors and short-term traders can benefit, provided they remain disciplined with entry and exit timing.

Thursday, September 11, 2025

TSLA Pretiming Report_Daily: TSLA is on the cusp of leaving its bearish phase. Both long-term investors and short-term traders should stay alert, as the next few sessions could define whether this rebound evolves into a sustainable bullish cycle.

TSLA Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: September 11, 2025

🔹 Today's Market Flow

Tesla (TSLA) closed at $368.8, marking a sharp +6.04% gain on the day. This rebound followed a week-long bearish phase, during which the stock had been under strong selling pressure.

The surge reflects renewed buying momentum as investors positioned themselves ahead of potential catalysts, including expectations of improving market sentiment and short-term technical recovery. Despite being in a Bearish zone, the probability of transitioning into a Bullish trend within the next few sessions has risen significantly, making the price action noteworthy.

*Key Factors Driving SPY and the U.S. Stock Market Today

Analyst view: On Sept 11, 2025 the S&P 500 (SPY) and broader U.S. equity market rose sharply — hitting fresh record highs — as investors weighed mixed inflation data against clear signs of a cooling labor market and pushed forward expected Federal Reserve rate cuts. The market reaction was dominated by positioning for easier policy and a renewed rally in large-cap tech/AI names.

What happened (key facts)

Inflation came in mixed but not threatening enough to derail easing hopes. August CPI showed prices rose slightly more than some expected (headline and core readings that surprised parts of the market), but the overall tone left room for the Fed to move toward cuts rather than hikes. Market participants treated the print as compatible with imminent easing rather than a return to tightening.
Labor data softened materially. Weekly initial jobless claims jumped to roughly 263,000 (the highest in nearly four years) and other employment revisions showed significantly weaker payroll gains than previously reported — strengthening the narrative of cooling labor-market momentum. That pushed the expected path of rates toward cuts.
Market odds for a September cut rose; yields fell. After the data, markets repriced a near-certain 25bp Fed cut at the Sep FOMC and priced additional cuts later in the year — a key mechanical driver for equities because lower rates lift equity valuations and reduce discount rates. Treasury yields retreated, which supported multiple expansion for growth names.
Leadership and stock-specific rallies amplified the move. Big-cap tech and selected cyclicals led the advance — notable winners included AI-linked names and some megacaps that posted strong gains (Oracle and other tech/AI beneficiaries, plus names like Tesla and Micron that showed strong moves), which concentrated gains in indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. That concentration helped push headline indices to record closes.

🔹 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Current Zone: Bearish
Recommended Position: Sell and Observe

In the Bearish zone, long-term risk remains elevated. Persistent selling pressure typically outweighs rebound movements, making buy-and-hold strategies less favorable. Historically, TSLA has shown that bearish cycles are marked by steep declines followed by volatile, short-lived recoveries.

However, the data suggests an 89% probability of entering a Bullish zone within 1 day, signaling a potential structural shift. Long-term investors should:

Remain patient in the near term – avoid aggressive accumulation until a confirmed breakout into a Bullish zone occurs.
Prepare for re-entry opportunities – if TSLA confirms a bullish transition, gradually scaling into positions could unlock upside potential while managing risk.
Monitor macro factors – given Tesla’s high beta and 70% correlation with the U.S. stock market index, broader market sentiment will heavily influence its trajectory.

Performance Snapshot (since Bearish entry, Sep 2):

Holding Period: 7 days
Bearish Cumulative Return: +12.0%
Current Price vs. Entry: +$39.5 (+12%)

🔹 Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Market Condition: Bearish, transitioning toward Bullish
Recommended Position: Cautious Buy (near-term bullish reversal expected)

TSLA is currently in a rebound trend, where heavy selling pressure has temporarily eased and strong buying interest has emerged. The stock is forming a box-pattern recovery, characterized by small dips and strong upside surges.

Trading Guidance:

Sell Timing:
- Target Date: Sep 12, 2025
- Price Target: $379.1
Buy Timing:
- Target Dates: Sep 22–23, 2025
- Price Target: $370.9

This strategy allows traders to capitalize on short-term momentum while preparing to re-enter during the next corrective dip.

🔹 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook

Forecast Pattern: Strong upward trajectory with moderate volatility
Downward : Upward Ratio: 5 : 5 (balanced, but upward intensity stronger)
Expected Price Range:
- Low: $366.5 (-0.6%)
- High: $386.6 (+4.8%)
- Median: $376.6 (+2.1%)
Turning Points: High probability of reversals around Day 4 and Day 9
Trend Zone Outlook:
- Current: Bearish (-14%)
- Next 10 Days Expected: Bullish (+43%)
Intensity Forecast:
- Upward Movements: +90% strength
- Downward Movements: -38% strength

Volatility Note: The prediction carries high volatility, driven by sudden changes in buy-sell intensity. Short-term traders should be alert for fast-moving swings.

🔹 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors: Remain in Sell and Observe mode until a confirmed breakout into the Bullish zone. Once momentum shifts, consider gradual accumulation to capture long-term upside.
For Short-Term Traders: TSLA is showing signs of a near-term bullish reversal. Taking advantage of the Sep 12 selling opportunity (~$379.1) and preparing for a buyback around Sep 22–23 (~$370.9) could be an optimal tactical move.
Macro Linkage: With a 70% correlation to U.S. market indices, Tesla’s path will likely mirror broader equity sentiment. A supportive macro backdrop (e.g., easing bond yields, market-wide risk-on appetite) could accelerate TSLA’s bullish transition.

Bottom Line: TSLA is on the cusp of leaving its bearish phase. Both long-term investors and short-term traders should stay alert, as the next few sessions could define whether this rebound evolves into a sustainable bullish cycle.

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily: RGTI has shifted bullish, rewarding investors with quick gains. Long-term investors should stay invested but alert to downside risks.

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: September 11, 2025

🔹 Today's Market Flow

Rigetti Computing (RGTI) closed at $16.70, rising +3.09%. This move reflects the stock’s shift into a Bullish zone after a sustained period of bearish pressure. Stronger buying activity pushed the stock higher, marking Day 1 in the Bullish cycle.

Since transitioning from bearish to bullish, RGTI has posted a +3.1% cumulative return. However, early bullish phases often experience volatility and sharp corrections, meaning disciplined execution remains essential.

🔹 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The current Bullish zone favors a Buy and Hold strategy.

Bullish Zone Characteristics:
- Uptrend: Persistent upward momentum with only brief declines.
- Correction Trend: Short-term dips but with overall upward bias.
Strategic Implications for Long-Term Investors:
- Stay Invested: With strong buying pressure, the risk-reward balance leans favorably toward holding positions.
- Monitor for Downside Risks: There is a 50% probability of re-entering a Bearish zone within 8 days, requiring vigilance.
- Long-Term View: If the bullish momentum continues, investors could expect sustained gains with limited downside pressure.

Bottom Line for Long-Term Investors: Continue holding positions, but prepare a defensive strategy in case the trend reverses back into bearish territory.

🔹 Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

RGTI’s short-term setup is more complex. While the stock is in a bullish zone, signals suggest a near-term correction trend may emerge.

Current Conditions:
- Market is shifting from a rebound rally to potential small gains followed by sharper declines.
- Buy-Sell intensity remains balanced, but buying strength is showing signs of weakening.
Tactical Playbook:
- Sell Timing:
  - Date: Sep 12
  - Target Price: $17.70
- Buy Timing:
  - Date: Sep 23–24
  - Target Price: $16.70
Execution Notes:
- In bullish phases, traders should take advantage of partial selling on rallies and seek re-entry at lower levels.
- Aggressive short-term buying should be avoided until the correction stabilizes.

🔹 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Trend Expectation: Likely to follow an ascending rectangle with frequent fluctuations.
Directional Bias:
- Downward: 60% probability
- Upward: 40% probability
Price Range Forecast (Next 10 Days):
- Low: $16.00 (-4.2%)
- High: $17.80 (+6.8%)
- Median: $16.90 (+1.3%)
Trend Zone Projections:
- Last 30 days: Bullish (0%)
- Current: Bullish (+12%)
- Next 10 days: Bullish (+20%)
Trend Intensity Forecast:
- If upward → Average strength +82%
- If downward → Average weakness -41%
Turning Point Probability: Correction trend reversal likely within 2 days.
Volatility: Relatively low due to stable Buy-Sell intensity, but correction-driven fluctuations may add short-term pressure.

🔹 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors:
Maintain a Buy and Hold approach as RGTI has just entered a Bullish cycle. However, remain cautious of the 50% chance of a bearish re-entry in the near term.
For Short-Term Traders:
The near-term play is tactical. Consider selling into strength near $17.70 (Sep 12) and planning a re-entry around $16.70 (Sep 23–24). Avoid chasing the rally as correction signals are building.
Overall Outlook:
RGTI is in the early stage of a bullish phase, but the balance of probabilities suggests more correction than sustained upside in the next 10 days. Opportunistic selling and careful re-entry are key to maximizing returns.

✅ Analyst’s Bottom Line:
RGTI has shifted bullish, rewarding investors with quick gains. Long-term investors should stay invested but alert to downside risks. Short-term traders should sell into strength and prepare for re-entry at lower levels.

Wednesday, September 10, 2025

TSLA Pretiming Report_Daily: Tesla is navigating a Bearish cycle with strong selling momentum. Long-term investors should remain on the sidelines, while short-term traders may exploit tactical price swings.

TSLA Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: September 10, 2025

🔹 Today's Market Flow

Tesla (TSLA) closed at $347.80, up +0.24% on September 10. While the daily move was modest, the stock remains locked in a Bearish zone, with strong selling intensity evident.

Over the past 6 trading days since entering the Bearish zone at $329.40, the stock has gained +5.6%, but the rally appears fragile, with sellers regaining control. The broader market correlation remains moderate: TSLA tends to move in line with U.S. indexes about 71% of the time, leaving room for both alignment and decoupling depending on market catalysts.

🔹 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Tesla’s long-term outlook continues to be weighed down by its Bearish trend zone. In such an environment, the recommended stance is “Sell and Observe.”

Bearish Zone Dynamics:
- Downtrend: Persistent downward flows with only short-lived bounces.
- Rebound Trend: Temporary rallies within the dominant bearish cycle.

Strategic Considerations:

Risk Management First: Avoid heavy exposure, as long-term upside is not supported by current momentum.
Observation Mode: Investors should monitor closely, waiting for confirmation of a bullish reversal before accumulating.
Probability Outlook: Current models suggest only a 39% chance of entering a Bullish zone in the next 8 days, meaning downside risks still outweigh upside potential.

Bottom Line for Long-Term Investors: Stay on the sidelines. Continue to observe until the bearish pressure subsides and a confirmed bullish shift signals a buying opportunity.

🔹 Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

Short-term conditions highlight strong selling momentum within a downtrend. While minor rebounds are possible, the underlying flow suggests more downside risks than sustainable gains.

Sell Timing: Optimal window projected for Sep 11, with potential selling prices around $351.10.
Buy Timing: A more attractive re-entry could emerge between Sep 12–15, targeting around $331.40.

Tactical Notes:

Current Buy-Sell intensity has shifted from weak selling to sharply stronger selling, signaling caution.
Traders may adopt a Neutral stance—avoiding aggressive accumulation while selectively taking profits during upward swings.
Fast response to rallies can serve as a hedge against downside pressure.

🔹 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Trend Expectation: Pattern likely to follow an ascending rectangle, but with more downward pressure than upward stability.
Directional Bias:
- Downward: 60% probability
- Upward: 40% probability
Price Range Forecast (Next 10 Days):
- Low: $334.40 (-3.9%)
- High: $361.50 (+3.9%)
- Median: $347.90 (flat)
Trend Zone Projections:
- Last 30 days: Bullish (+6%)
- Current: Bearish (-32%)
- Next 10 days: Bearish (-27%)
Trend Intensity Forecast:
- If upward → Average strength +57%
- If downward → Average weakness -54%
Turning Point Probability: High likelihood of a reversal attempt around Day 4 from now.
Volatility: Elevated due to sudden shifts in Buy-Sell intensity, making forecasts less stable compared with previous sessions.

🔹 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors:
Tesla remains firmly in bearish territory. Avoid premature entries. A “Sell and Observe” posture is still appropriate until bullish reversal signals appear.
For Short-Term Traders:
Maintain Neutral positioning. Consider tactical selling near $351.10 (Sep 11) and re-entry opportunities near $331.40 (Sep 12–15). Quick profit-taking is key given heightened volatility.
Overall Outlook:
Despite minor rebounds, Tesla’s momentum favors sellers. With only a 39% probability of a bullish shift in the near term, defensive strategies remain prudent. The next few trading sessions may bring volatility spikes, offering opportunities for disciplined short-term traders but continuing caution for long-term investors.

✅ Analyst’s Bottom Line:
Tesla is navigating a Bearish cycle with strong selling momentum. Long-term investors should remain on the sidelines, while short-term traders may exploit tactical price swings. Patience and discipline will be critical until clearer bullish signals emerge.

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily: RGTI is still in a bearish zone but on the verge of a bullish transition. Patience and preparation are key—long-term investors should stay cautious but ready to accumulate, while short-term traders can tactically exploit rebound opportunities.

RGTI Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: September 10, 2025

🔹 Today's Market Flow

RGTI closed at $16.20, down -1.88% on September 10. Despite the decline, the stock has shown signs of resilience, maintaining a rebound trend within a broader bearish zone. Over the past 4 trading days, the stock has climbed +7.1% since entering the bearish zone at $15.10, but overall selling pressure remains elevated.

Market correlations suggest RGTI moves in line with the broader U.S. stock market about 71% of the time, though divergences still occur. This mixed correlation indicates that broader market movements may heavily influence short-term price direction, but company-specific factors can also drive deviations.

🔹 Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

The stock currently resides in a Bearish trend zone, where the recommended stance remains “Sell and Observe.”

Bearish Zone Dynamics:
- Downtrend: Strong downward flows with only minor upward corrections.
- Rebound Trend: Temporary upward moves within a larger downward cycle.

Historically, investing in this environment yields low returns with elevated risk, as selling pressure outweighs buying momentum. A key long-term takeaway is that patient investors should avoid premature accumulation until a confirmed bullish transition occurs.

Strategic Considerations:

Risk Mitigation: Stay defensive, avoid heavy exposure, and consider hedging via inverse ETFs if bearish momentum accelerates.
Monitoring for Transition: Probability models show a 91% chance of entering a Bullish zone within 1 day, making it critical to prepare a flexible entry strategy.
Bullish Transition Strategy: Once the trend shifts, gradual position building and reduced cash allocations may allow investors to capture the upside effectively.

🔹 Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

In the short term, RGTI is still under bearish conditions but is showing rebound trend behavior within a box pattern of fluctuations. This suggests a temporary easing of selling pressure.

Actionable Short-Term Strategy:

Buy Timing: Entry opportunity expected around Sep 11 at approximately $16.30.
Sell Timing: Potential exit between Sep 11–12 at around $18.20.
Tactical Approach:
- During rebounds, actively take profits on upward swings.
- Maintain conservative position sizes until the bullish confirmation materializes.
- Avoid chasing rallies without clear trend validation.

This short-term strategy implies a tactical trading opportunity, but investors should remain agile as volatility could quickly reverse gains.

🔹 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Trend Expectation: Ascending rectangle pattern with a 60% upward bias versus 40% downward risk.
Price Range Forecast:
- Lower bound: $15.10 (-7.0%)
- Upper bound: $17.90 (+10.8%)
- Median price: $16.50 (+1.9%)
Trend Zone Shifts:
- Last 30 days: Bearish (-2%)
- Current: Bearish (-4%)
- Next 10 days expected: Bullish (+34%)
Trend Intensity Forecast:
- If upward → strong momentum with 86% intensity
- If downward → moderate weakness with -40% intensity
Turning Point Probability: Reversal signals expected around Day 4 and Day 9 from today.
Volatility Outlook: Forecast stability is relatively strong, with low volatility expected due to consistent Buy-Sell intensity alignment.

🔹 Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

For Long-Term Investors:
Stay defensive in the short run, but prepare to shift strategy soon. With a 91% probability of bullish entry, investors should begin planning phased entries as the risk/reward profile improves.
For Short-Term Traders:
An active Buy and Hold (short-term bullish) stance is possible, with tactical buys around $16.30 and profit-taking near $18.20. However, remain cautious, as bearish forces are not fully exhausted.
Overall Outlook:
RGTI is nearing a critical inflection point. While the stock is still technically in bearish territory, the data points to a likely bullish breakout within days. Investors who stay disciplined and adjust positioning dynamically may capture meaningful upside while minimizing downside risk.

✅ Analyst’s Bottom Line:
RGTI is still in a bearish zone but on the verge of a bullish transition. Patience and preparation are key—long-term investors should stay cautious but ready to accumulate, while short-term traders can tactically exploit rebound opportunities.