JOBY Pretiming Report_Daily: JOBY is nearing a potential rebound, but the trend is not yet strong enough to justify aggressive buying. Patience and disciplined execution remain key.

 

JOBY Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 21, 2025
Closing Price: $14.50 (▼ -1.83%)

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1. Today's Market Flow

JOBY closed at $14.50, down 1.83% from the previous session, extending its position within the Bearish zone. The stock has been under selling pressure for the past 11 days since first entering this zone on August 6, 2025 (previous selling price: $18.90).

During this period, JOBY has seen a cumulative decline of -23.7%, reflecting a strong bearish momentum. However, market signals now suggest that the downtrend is slowing, and early signs of a rebound phase may be developing as selling intensity begins to weaken.

*Key Factors Driving JOBY

JOBY’s Recent Decline: Core Causes

• Q2 Financial Results Disappoint: Joby Aviation posted a substantial net loss of $0.41 per share in Q2 2025—over double last year’s loss. Revenue remains minimal despite high gross margins, intensifying worries about operational sustainability. This resulted in persistent selling pressure and a drop from $18.20 to $14.27 over recent days.

• Analyst Downgrades and Skepticism: Leading brokers, including HC Wainwright and Canaccord, shifted ratings from "Buy" to "Neutral" or "Hold" while lowering price targets. These moves, coupled with Wall Street Zen and other analysts cutting ratings to “Sell”, fueled additional negative sentiment.

• Board Reshuffles and Weak Guidance: Market participants reacted negatively to changes in board composition and revised downward guidance, which signaled ongoing uncertainty at the leadership level.

• Technical Selling Pressure: Technical indicators such as MACD turning negative and momentum indicators falling below zero suggested continued downside, with volumes supporting the bearish trend. The stock broke key support levels, amplifying the downtrend.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

JOBY remains firmly in a Bearish zone, where the suitable long-term strategy is Sell and Observe.

• Bearish zone dynamics:

  • Downtrend phase: Characterized by sharp declines with occasional weak upward movements.

  • Rebound phase: Consists of temporary price recoveries that remain unstable and short-lived.

Historically, investing in this zone delivers low expected returns and carries a high probability of further downside risk. For long-term investors, the priority should be capital preservation rather than accumulation.

Key Strategic Points:

• Maintain the Sell and Observe stance until JOBY transitions back into a Bullish zone, which would provide a true buying point for renewed exposure.

• Consider inverse stock positions or hedges as a defensive measure during the current downward cycle.

• A probability of 54% exists for JOBY to re-enter a Bullish zone within the next 7 days, signaling that investors should prepare for potential allocation adjustments if momentum shifts upward.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

From a trading perspective, JOBY is transitioning from a Downtrend into a potential Rebound trend.

• Short-term positioning: Neutral stance is recommended for now.

• Buying window: Forecast suggests an attractive entry between Aug 22–25 around $15.00.

• Selling window: Expected between Aug 29–Sep 02 near $18.00, offering a short-term profit opportunity.

Correlation with the broader market:

• Moves in line with U.S. market indices 72% of the time.

• Moves against the index 28% of the time, meaning JOBY retains some independence in price action.

Traders should remain cautious but agile—use upward movements as tactical selling opportunities and approach buying with limited exposure until confirmation of a Bullish shift.

*Factors Supporting a Potential Near-Term Rebound

• Technical Reversal Signals: Despite recent declines, technical analyses suggest some buy signals could materialize. JOBY is highly volatile and currently testing support zones around $11.58 and $17.45. A bounce at these levels, especially coupled with rising trading volume and a positive divergence in moving averages, could prompt a short-term rebound.

• Overextended Downside & Oversold Conditions: Bearish zone -210%, JOBY is extremely oversold, often preceding a tactical rebound. Probability patterns show that in past similar instances, the stock experienced upward corrections after three consecutive days of decline.

• Liquidity Buffer: JOBY’s high cash reserves and strong current ratio provide financial flexibility. If investor sentiment stabilizes or positive news emerges (e.g., innovation milestones), oversold conditions may prompt renewed buying.

• Broader Market Positives: On the broader market, moderation in tariff increases or unexpected positive news (such as strong earnings in other sectors) could help spark a relief rally in risk assets for the next week, as historic volatility often creates sharp recoveries following intense selling.

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In summary, recent declines in JOBY and the broader U.S. stock market have been mainly driven by disappointing results, analyst downgrades, tariff-related shocks, and economic slowdowns. However, technical indicators hint at a possible short-term rebound next week, attributed to oversold conditions, support testing, and the company’s strong liquidity position.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

Expected Direction: Upward bias with a 3:7 ratio favoring gains.

• Price Range Forecast: $13.90 – $17.40

• Potential Upside: +20.5%

• Potential Downside: -4.0%

• Median Forecast Price: $15.60 (+8.2% from current level)

Trend Probability:

• Current trend zone: Bearish (-210%)

• Next 10-day forecast: Bearish (-80%), suggesting weakening downward pressure.

• Average upward intensity: +32%

• Average downward intensity: -56%

Turning Points:

• High probability of a trend reversal in 1 day and again in 8 days, implying heightened volatility ahead.

Volatility Outlook:
Due to a balanced buy-sell intensity, forecast volatility remains relatively low. Still, short-term rebounds may be sharp and fast, requiring timely execution.

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5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• For Long-Term Investors: Continue to Sell and Observe. The Bearish zone indicates risk outweighs reward at this stage. Preserve cash and monitor closely for a confirmed Bullish transition.

• For Short-Term Traders: Adopt a neutral stance now, but prepare for tactical opportunities:

  • Buy around $15.80 (Aug 26–27)

  • Sell near $18.00 (Aug 29–Sep 02)

• Market Sensitivity: JOBY shows a strong link to the U.S. stock index—future moves may track broader market sentiment.

• Bottom Line: JOBY is nearing a potential rebound, but the trend is not yet strong enough to justify aggressive buying. Patience and disciplined execution remain key.

TSLA Pretiming Report_Daily: Tesla remains in a Bearish zone but is showing early signs of a rebound pattern. While long-term investors should remain defensive, short-term traders can cautiously position for a potential upward move.

 

TSLA Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 21, 2025
Closing Price: $320.1 (-1.17%)

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1. Today’s Market Flow

Tesla (TSLA) closed at $320.1, down -1.17% from the prior session, extending its short stay in a Bearish zone.

TSLA entered this Bearish phase only 3 days ago (Aug 18, 2025) and has since accumulated a modest -4.5% decline. Although the selling trend remains intact, signs of weakening downward momentum suggest the possibility of a near-term rebound trend forming.

Market sentiment remains cautious, but probabilities indicate potential upward stabilization within the next week.

*Key Factors Driving TSLA Today

• Disappointing Earnings and Outlook
  Tesla reported unsatisfactory second-quarter earnings, with both revenue and net income falling for the second straight quarter. Sales in major markets such as the United States and China were notably weak. CEO Elon Musk further warned that the company could face "a few rough quarters" ahead, citing internal and external challenges.

• Tax Incentive Removal and Regulatory Credits
  Investors are responding negatively to the upcoming expiration of U.S. electric vehicle tax incentives, which have historically supported Tesla's bottom line. Additionally, the market for regulatory credits is diminishing, further weakening Tesla’s outlook for generating supplemental revenue.

• Broader Macroeconomic and Market Concerns
  Widespread anxieties about the macroeconomic environment, including persistent inflation and uncertainty over Federal Reserve policy, have led to a general pullback in high-valuation and technology stocks. Weak economic data released during the week, especially on employment, intensified investor caution.

• Product and Demand Concerns
  Tesla's much-anticipated Cybertruck has underperformed, selling only 52,000 units compared to the original 1 million reservations. Such product weakness raised additional doubts about Tesla’s ability to grow and innovate at the rapid pace markets have priced in.

• Political and Brand Turbulence
  Tesla’s perceived close alignment with Elon Musk’s political activities and controversies, including leadership in government efforts and public disputes, has contributed to brand damage and further pressured the stock. The stock has also been impacted by recent policy changes and public disagreements between Musk and top U.S. government officials.

Overall, TSLA’s decline was driven by a toxic mix of worsening fundamentals, the loss of key incentives, weakening product demand, deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, and heightened regulatory and political uncertainty—all of which eroded investor confidence in Tesla’s short-term outlook.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Trend Zone: Bearish

• Recommended Position: Sell and Observe

From a long-term perspective, Tesla remains under selling pressure:

• Bearish zones typically bring extended downward moves with weak rebound attempts.

• The risk-reward ratio remains unfavorable, and staying defensive is advisable.

Currently, there is a 50% probability of shifting into a Bullish zone within 5 days. If this transition occurs, it would represent a major turning point for long-term investors, creating an opportunity to increase equity exposure.

Until then, the prudent approach is to hold cash, observe market conditions, and prepare to act if a confirmed Bullish breakout develops.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Current Position: Buy (Bullish) and Hold (light exposure)

• Short-Term Outlook: Preparing for a rebound

Key tactical insights:

• Buying Window: Aug 25–26, at an estimated entry price of $324.7

• Selling Window: Sep 3–4, with a target exit price of $347.0

• Pattern Expectation: Ascending rectangle formation, with 60% upward probability vs. 40% downward risk.

Short-term traders should:

• Use upcoming rebound strength as an opportunity to initiate limited buy positions.

• Hold through the potential upward swing but remain disciplined with profit-taking near projected highs.

• Treat upward surges as tactical opportunities rather than long-term commitments until a Bullish zone is fully confirmed.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

• Projected Price Range: $310.5 ~ $345.6

• Expected % Change: -3.0% ~ +8.0%

• Median Forecast Price: $328.0 (+2.5%)

Additional Forecast Highlights:

• Turning Points: Likely reversals in ~1 day and again around 7 days.

• Correlation with U.S. Stock Market:

  • Moves in sync: 71% probability

  • Moves independently: 29% probability

• Trend Intensity:

  • Upward moves: Avg. +65% strength

  • Downward moves: Avg. -52% strength

• Average Daily Outcomes:

  • On rising days: +3.2% (range +4.4% ~ -1.3%)

  • On falling days: -2.2% (range +1.3% ~ -3.9%)

Overall, TSLA shows early signs of stabilization and is expected to trade with a slight upward bias in the next 10 days, though volatility tied to broader market direction remains a significant factor.

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5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• For Long-Term Investors:
  Maintain Sell and Observe until Tesla clearly transitions into a Bullish zone. Avoid deep exposure during Bearish cycles, but prepare for re-entry as a potential Bullish breakout may emerge in the coming week.

• For Short-Term Traders:
  A tactical Buy-and-Hold approach may be effective with limited exposure. Consider buying between Aug 25–26 and targeting exits near Sep 3–4 around $347.0.

Bottom Line:
Tesla remains in a Bearish zone but is showing early signs of a rebound pattern. While long-term investors should remain defensive, short-term traders can cautiously position for a potential upward move, provided strict discipline in entry and exit timing is maintained.

COIN Pretiming Report_Daily: COIN is nearing a potential rebound phase after weeks of heavy selling. However, until the Bullish zone is confirmed, both long- and short-term investors should remain cautious, prioritize capital preservation, and prepare to act quickly if the upward breakout solidifies.

COIN Pretiming Report_Daily

Date: August 21, 2025
Closing Price: $300.3 (-1.35%)

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1. Today’s Market Flow

Coinbase (COIN) closed at $300.3, down -1.35% from the previous session.
The stock remains in a Bearish trend zone, reflecting ongoing selling pressure and cautious investor sentiment.

Over the past 21 days, COIN has consistently remained in this Bearish zone, accumulating a decline of -24.5% since July 23, 2025. This performance highlights the importance of risk management and defensive positioning.

Selling activity continues to outweigh buying pressure, although signs of a potential rebound trend are emerging as downward momentum begins to slow.

*Key Factors Driving COIN Today

• Sluggish Trading Activity and Revenue Decline
  Coinbase’s Q2 financial results showed a significant drop in transaction revenue (down 39% from the previous quarter) and overall trading activity, which led to revenues missing Wall Street expectations. This signaled to investors that activity on the platform was slowing sharply, a trend exacerbated by lower volatility in crypto markets.

• Unfavorable Subscription Guidance
  The company provided a less-than-enthusiastic outlook for its subscription revenue. This forecast, combined with weak trading performance, resulted in analysts revising price targets downward and, in some cases, lowering their stock ratings for COIN.

• Broader Market and Macroeconomic Sentiment
  Disappointing macroeconomic data and renewed trade tariff discussions in the U.S. weighed heavily on risk assets, including crypto-related equities like Coinbase. Worries about recessions and shifting trade policies have increased the perceived risk of holding high-beta stocks tied to digital assets.

• Comparative Underperformance in the Crypto Sector
  While Coinbase posted disappointing numbers, some competitors—such as Robinhood—reported growth in their crypto trading revenue, highlighting Coinbase’s unique challenges amid a sector-wide backdrop of changing risk tolerance.

• Shift in Market Behavior and Regulatory Uncertainty
  Crypto markets entered a phase of lower volatility and reduced trading, partially due to investors holding assets during a bullish crypto cycle and awaiting further clarity on U.S. regulations. Sector-wide anticipation of key data releases, possible Fed rate cuts, and major regulatory updates also contributed to market caution, limiting upside for trading-focused platforms like Coinbase.

In summary, COIN’s decline on August 21 was driven by disappointing earnings, a weak outlook, diminished market volatility, mounting macroeconomic pressures, and evolving sector dynamics—all of which combined to sour investor sentiment toward Coinbase stock.

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2. Long-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Trend Zone: Bearish

• Recommended Position: Sell and Observe

In the long-term view, COIN is still locked in a Bearish cycle. Historically, Bearish zones are marked by:

• Downtrend: Persistent declines with minor recoveries.

• Rebound Trend: Short-lived upward movements within a downward framework.

For long-term investors, remaining defensive is the most suitable stance:

• Continue holding cash or alternative positions until COIN transitions into a Bullish zone.

• The “Sell and Observe” strategy has been effective in preserving capital, avoiding further downside exposure.

• There is a 60% probability of entering the Bullish zone within 4 days, which could present the next significant buying opportunity.

Until then, maintaining caution remains the most prudent long-term approach.

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3. Short-Term Investment Strategy & Analysis

• Current Position: Neutral

• Key Observation: Market is preparing to shift from a downtrend into a rebound trend.

Short-term strategy highlights:

• Buying Window: Aug 22–25, with a target entry price around $305.1.

• Selling Window: Aug 28–29, with a target exit price around $330.7.

• Trend Expectation (10 days): 70% upward movement vs. 30% downward movement.

Investors should:

• Stay conservative during short-term rebounds.

• Use upward surges as selling or hedging opportunities.

• Consider low-exposure purchases only when the rebound confirms stability.

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4. 10-Day Forecast & Trend Outlook and Insights

• Projected Price Range: $294.3 ~ $327.3

• Expected % Change: -2.0% ~ +9.0%

• Median Forecast Price: $310.8 (+3.5%)

Additional Forecast Insights:

• Turning Points: Likely trend shifts today and again around 7 days from now.

• Correlation with U.S. Market Index:

  • Moves in sync: 76% probability

  • Moves independently: 24% probability

• Trend Intensity:

  • Upward moves: Avg. +56% strength

  • Downward moves: Avg. -52% strength

• Average Closing Prices:

  • Rising days: +3.7% (high ~ +5.1%, low ~ -1.3%)

  • Falling days: -2.3% (high ~ +1.6%, low ~ -3.8%)

Overall, COIN is forecasted to lean upward in the next 10 days, but volatility tied to the broader U.S. stock market remains a critical factor.

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5. Strategic Takeaways & Final Thoughts

• For Long-Term Investors:
  Stay patient. Continue with a Sell and Observe stance until COIN confirms entry into a Bullish zone. Risk remains elevated, but a potential Bullish shift within days could create a strong buying setup.

• For Short-Term Traders:
  Neutral positioning is appropriate until confirmation of the rebound. Consider light buying between Aug 22–25 and aim for profit-taking between Aug 28–29 near $330.7.

Bottom Line:
COIN is nearing a potential rebound phase after weeks of heavy selling. However, until the Bullish zone is confirmed, both long- and short-term investors should remain cautious, prioritize capital preservation, and prepare to act quickly if the upward breakout solidifies.